Thursday, December 18, 2008
Rest In Peace, Slingin' Sammy Baugh
Not many people these days know about Sammy Baugh, and that is a shame. He is most certainly the greatest NFL player of all time, but if you asked 100 NFL fans for the best NFL player ever, a majority wouldn't name him.
The sad thing is, if I didn't have the ties to TCU that I do (go Frogs) I'm not sure that I would know who he was either. Everyone knows of Babe Ruth, who revitalized baseball's offense by utilizing the homerun, but not nearly as many people know about Baugh, and he did the same thing for football by utilizing the forward pass. He pretty much made football into the game we know and love today and doesn't get near the credit he deserves for it.
In a time when the number of forward passes averaged about three per NFL game, he averaged about 7 completions per game. He still owns the Redskins record for most touchdown passes and he played 60 years ago.
But not only does he hold those distinctions as a quarterback, he also played on defense. At the same time. In fact, twice in his career he threw 4 touchdowns in a game in which he also caught 4 interceptions. To this day he is still third on the Redskins all time interception list, as in making interceptions, not throwing them.
Not only did he excel on offense and defense, but he was also a star punter. In fact, he still holds the NFL record for best punting average in a season. Still! No one has ever had a better punting season, and that was his third job on the team!
He was a member of the inaugural NFL Hall of Fame class, he led the Redskins to two NFL Championships (and played in 3 more), and he led the 1935 TCU Horned Frogs to one of only two National Championships (so far).
Oddly enough, his nickname of Slingin' wasn't given because of his propensity to throw the football when no one else did, but because of the velocity with which he threw a baseball, because he was also a star short stop and 3rd baseman for the TCU baseball team.
I wish that the NFL had done a better job of teaching their fans about this amazing athlete, because in all actuality, he should be to the NFL what Babe Ruth is to the MLB.
Rest in peace, Sammy, and may you play all three phases of the great game in the sky.
Go Frogs.
Monday, December 1, 2008
Why OU Deserves to be Ahead of Texas
Many of my friends are UT fans, so they won't enjoy this post (if they even read it), but I thought I'd put it up anyway.
First of all, let me say I'm approaching this completely in a non-biased fashion. In fact, if I had to choose which of the three teams is my favorite it would be hands down Texas, but that doesn't change the facts, and they clearly state that OU should be ahead of UT and deserved to win the Big 12 Championship and deserve a chance to play for the National Championship.
Yes, we know. Texas beat Oklahoma. 45-35. Fine. Too bad that argument means absolutely nothing in this case. It isn't just between Texas and Oklahoma. It isn't a 2 way tie. Head to head means absolutely nothing. If it did, Tech would be ranked ahead of OU, it's that simple.
It isn't a 2 way tie at the top of the Big 12, it is a 3 way tie. Ignore the fact that the BCS erased Tech's chances when OU blew them out, the fact remains that they are just as legitimate a Big 12 Champ as either Texas or Oklahoma on the surface of it. They beat Texas. They can make the same argument that Texas is making against OU. "But we beat you! Head to head!"
Texas Tech beat Texas. Head to head. They should therefore be ranked ahead of Texas. After all, they have identical records, conference and overall. But you don't hear Tech making any complaints.
Because they realize that it is a 3 way tie at the top and while they beat Texas by 6 they lost to OU by 44 points. 44 points. In a 3 way tie, it seems to me point differential should be the difference. Match up the three teams in how they played against each other and OU comes out on top big. Texas won one by 10, lost one by 6 (+4), Texas Tech won one by 6, lost one by 44 (-38), OU won one by 44, lost one by 10 (+34). This is a fair and logical tie-breaker that makes more sense then the arbitrary one used by the Big 12 (BCS standings), one that is actually decided on the field.
That being said, the BCS got it right, primarily because of the computers which rewarded OU for playing a much tougher schedule. Out of conference, OU played two teams that finished in the top 15. OU beat #13 Cincinnati 52-26 and #11 TCU 35-10. They also scheduled Washington on the road (which when the game was scheduled was far more daunting then it is now). The only cupcake coming into the season on their non-conference schedule was Chattanooga. Texas on the other hand had perennial cupcakes Rice and Florida Atlantic on their schedule. They also had UTEP (no TCU) and Arkansas, which, again at least coming in looked like it might be a tough game.
You can't know at the beginning of a season what the schedule will look like at the end in terms of strength, but you can help yourself out a little bit by playing teams a little tougher then Rice and Florida Atlantic. As it is, OU is 4-1 against teams in the top 15 of the BCS standings this season, Texas is only 2-1 (so, I might add is Texas Tech, and remember, they beat Texas, head to head.)
Like I said, if I'm biased in any way it would be towards Texas, but the facts are the facts and they say that OU is the team that deserved to be declared the champion. Texas could have beaten Tech and made it all a moot point.
Or we could have a playoff and decide this the way it should be decided, on the field, then even Tech would still be alive to make their case, but, alas, that's another post.
First of all, let me say I'm approaching this completely in a non-biased fashion. In fact, if I had to choose which of the three teams is my favorite it would be hands down Texas, but that doesn't change the facts, and they clearly state that OU should be ahead of UT and deserved to win the Big 12 Championship and deserve a chance to play for the National Championship.
Yes, we know. Texas beat Oklahoma. 45-35. Fine. Too bad that argument means absolutely nothing in this case. It isn't just between Texas and Oklahoma. It isn't a 2 way tie. Head to head means absolutely nothing. If it did, Tech would be ranked ahead of OU, it's that simple.
It isn't a 2 way tie at the top of the Big 12, it is a 3 way tie. Ignore the fact that the BCS erased Tech's chances when OU blew them out, the fact remains that they are just as legitimate a Big 12 Champ as either Texas or Oklahoma on the surface of it. They beat Texas. They can make the same argument that Texas is making against OU. "But we beat you! Head to head!"
Texas Tech beat Texas. Head to head. They should therefore be ranked ahead of Texas. After all, they have identical records, conference and overall. But you don't hear Tech making any complaints.
Because they realize that it is a 3 way tie at the top and while they beat Texas by 6 they lost to OU by 44 points. 44 points. In a 3 way tie, it seems to me point differential should be the difference. Match up the three teams in how they played against each other and OU comes out on top big. Texas won one by 10, lost one by 6 (+4), Texas Tech won one by 6, lost one by 44 (-38), OU won one by 44, lost one by 10 (+34). This is a fair and logical tie-breaker that makes more sense then the arbitrary one used by the Big 12 (BCS standings), one that is actually decided on the field.
That being said, the BCS got it right, primarily because of the computers which rewarded OU for playing a much tougher schedule. Out of conference, OU played two teams that finished in the top 15. OU beat #13 Cincinnati 52-26 and #11 TCU 35-10. They also scheduled Washington on the road (which when the game was scheduled was far more daunting then it is now). The only cupcake coming into the season on their non-conference schedule was Chattanooga. Texas on the other hand had perennial cupcakes Rice and Florida Atlantic on their schedule. They also had UTEP (no TCU) and Arkansas, which, again at least coming in looked like it might be a tough game.
You can't know at the beginning of a season what the schedule will look like at the end in terms of strength, but you can help yourself out a little bit by playing teams a little tougher then Rice and Florida Atlantic. As it is, OU is 4-1 against teams in the top 15 of the BCS standings this season, Texas is only 2-1 (so, I might add is Texas Tech, and remember, they beat Texas, head to head.)
Like I said, if I'm biased in any way it would be towards Texas, but the facts are the facts and they say that OU is the team that deserved to be declared the champion. Texas could have beaten Tech and made it all a moot point.
Or we could have a playoff and decide this the way it should be decided, on the field, then even Tech would still be alive to make their case, but, alas, that's another post.
Labels:
BCS,
Big 12,
college football,
Oklahoma,
OU,
Texas,
Texas Tech,
UT
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
An Historic Day, but Also Proof There is More Work to Be Done
Barack Obama was overwhelmingly named the 44th President of the United States of America last night in an election that will always be remembered for the historical implications of the nation's first African American president just forty years after black people in this country weren't allowed to drink at the same water fountain as white people, weren't allowed to use the same restroom, weren't allowed to sit at the front of the bus. Forty years ago a movement started that hoped to change all of that, a man stood in front of the nation and said that he believed one day it would change, he told us of his dream for this nation and I believe that last night is part of what he envisioned. I wish that he could have been there to see it. Nothing can take away how important that is and how monumental last night was in regards to where this country has been on the issue of race historically.
But at the same time, last night showed us how far we still have to go when it comes to civil rights.
Arizona Proposition 102, Ban on Gay Marriages, passed.
Arkansas Initiative 1, Ban on Gay Couples Adopting Children, passed.
Florida Amendment 2, Ban on Gay Marriages, passed.
And California Proposition 8, A Constitutional Amendment to Ban Gay Marriages, which the State Supreme Court recognized recently as being against the State Constitution, looks as if it too will pass, though the vote is at this point still considered too close to call.
Forty years ago electing a man who happened to be black would have been unthinkable, yesterday it came to pass in the highest office in the land. But today, civil rights are still being denied to people, different people, perhaps, but no less human and no less deserving of civil rights whatever your view on their sexual orientation might be.
As ecstatic and proud as I am for the results in the Presidential election yesterday, I am equally ashamed of this country and its voters for the ballots denying equality to a portion of its populace.
We still have a lot of work to do.
As disappointed as I am, however, there is some hope for the future.
According to CNN.com exit polls, voters 18-29, the future of this country, in Arizona voted against Proposition 102 52% to 48%. Voters 18-29 in Arkansas voted against Initiative 1 54% to 46%. White voters 18-29 in Florida voted against Amendment 2 51% to 49%. And California voters 18-29 voted overwhelmingly against Proposition 8 63% to 37%.
I truly believe that as today's young voters become the majority and are joined by new young voters who believe in civil rights for all even more ardently then the generations just before them, change will come here as well.
There is more work to be done, but perhaps we are beginning to have the people capable of making that change in position to do so. And ourselves as young voters more then any other people, elected or otherwise. This country belongs to us. Its future belongs to us. And yesterday we began to show that we, the young voters, are ready to do what is necessary to make this country everything it can be and to give everyone, everyone, the rights that they deserve.
Yes We Can.
But at the same time, last night showed us how far we still have to go when it comes to civil rights.
Arizona Proposition 102, Ban on Gay Marriages, passed.
Arkansas Initiative 1, Ban on Gay Couples Adopting Children, passed.
Florida Amendment 2, Ban on Gay Marriages, passed.
And California Proposition 8, A Constitutional Amendment to Ban Gay Marriages, which the State Supreme Court recognized recently as being against the State Constitution, looks as if it too will pass, though the vote is at this point still considered too close to call.
Forty years ago electing a man who happened to be black would have been unthinkable, yesterday it came to pass in the highest office in the land. But today, civil rights are still being denied to people, different people, perhaps, but no less human and no less deserving of civil rights whatever your view on their sexual orientation might be.
As ecstatic and proud as I am for the results in the Presidential election yesterday, I am equally ashamed of this country and its voters for the ballots denying equality to a portion of its populace.
We still have a lot of work to do.
As disappointed as I am, however, there is some hope for the future.
According to CNN.com exit polls, voters 18-29, the future of this country, in Arizona voted against Proposition 102 52% to 48%. Voters 18-29 in Arkansas voted against Initiative 1 54% to 46%. White voters 18-29 in Florida voted against Amendment 2 51% to 49%. And California voters 18-29 voted overwhelmingly against Proposition 8 63% to 37%.
I truly believe that as today's young voters become the majority and are joined by new young voters who believe in civil rights for all even more ardently then the generations just before them, change will come here as well.
There is more work to be done, but perhaps we are beginning to have the people capable of making that change in position to do so. And ourselves as young voters more then any other people, elected or otherwise. This country belongs to us. Its future belongs to us. And yesterday we began to show that we, the young voters, are ready to do what is necessary to make this country everything it can be and to give everyone, everyone, the rights that they deserve.
Yes We Can.
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
President Elect Barack Obama
As I type this I watch the families of Barack Obama and Joe Biden on stage in Grant Park in my home town of Chicago, Illinois, where I was born and lived through my formative years. I wish I could be there tonight to take part in this amazing moment, but still feel a part of things down here in Red Texas in a county that voted predominately Republican. I feel as though I had a part in this campaign, something I have never really felt for any person that I've voted for before.
History will remember this election for the fact that Obama is the first African American candidate that was elected President, but to me he is so much more then that. I believe that this candidate signals a return to a government of the people and for the people, a government that more closely resembles the government that the founders of our great nation had in mind when they broke away from England over 232 years ago.
These last eight years especially, the government has not truly reflected the desires, beliefs, or morals of the majority of this nation. I truly believe that with this historic election that will begin to change.
Obama stands at 338 in the electoral count, and North Carolina, Indiana, and Montana all have him leading, but are too close to call. If all three do end up going to Obama, then he will have won 370 electoral votes, 100 more then are needed to become president. Despite the lead that Obama seemed to have in polls coming into election day, a win of that magnitude would be unbelievable.
The things I have done throughout the campaign that Barack Obama has run, the part I played as a donor, as an Obama supporter who spoke of my reasons and feelings to others, and as a delegate that literally single handily won Barack Obama votes in the Texas PrimaCaucaus, I am extremely proud. Tonight will be a moment I will always remember. It is a moment that I will claim for the rest of my life as one of the most significant that I have been a part of.
At this point I want to say thank you to everyone around this country that helped bring about this change in such a large and commanding fashion. This election is truly ours as no election has been in my lifetime. If not for the actions of so many people like myself around this great country of ours, this night would not be possible.
I look forward to the moment when around the world our status is once again that of a world leader as opposed to a country that so many other nations throughout the world distrust and find it hard to respect. The fact that we elected this man and did so in the manner that we did (no need for any recounts or lawsuits this time around) has put a new face on our fine country and I am once again proud to say that I am an American and I am part of a Change that we can believe in, all of us, everywhere, Yes We Can. Yes We Did.
Amen.
History will remember this election for the fact that Obama is the first African American candidate that was elected President, but to me he is so much more then that. I believe that this candidate signals a return to a government of the people and for the people, a government that more closely resembles the government that the founders of our great nation had in mind when they broke away from England over 232 years ago.
These last eight years especially, the government has not truly reflected the desires, beliefs, or morals of the majority of this nation. I truly believe that with this historic election that will begin to change.
Obama stands at 338 in the electoral count, and North Carolina, Indiana, and Montana all have him leading, but are too close to call. If all three do end up going to Obama, then he will have won 370 electoral votes, 100 more then are needed to become president. Despite the lead that Obama seemed to have in polls coming into election day, a win of that magnitude would be unbelievable.
The things I have done throughout the campaign that Barack Obama has run, the part I played as a donor, as an Obama supporter who spoke of my reasons and feelings to others, and as a delegate that literally single handily won Barack Obama votes in the Texas PrimaCaucaus, I am extremely proud. Tonight will be a moment I will always remember. It is a moment that I will claim for the rest of my life as one of the most significant that I have been a part of.
At this point I want to say thank you to everyone around this country that helped bring about this change in such a large and commanding fashion. This election is truly ours as no election has been in my lifetime. If not for the actions of so many people like myself around this great country of ours, this night would not be possible.
I look forward to the moment when around the world our status is once again that of a world leader as opposed to a country that so many other nations throughout the world distrust and find it hard to respect. The fact that we elected this man and did so in the manner that we did (no need for any recounts or lawsuits this time around) has put a new face on our fine country and I am once again proud to say that I am an American and I am part of a Change that we can believe in, all of us, everywhere, Yes We Can. Yes We Did.
Amen.
Monday, November 3, 2008
Election Day, What to Watch for in the Senate Races
A lot has been made about the possibility of the Democrats reaching a filibuster proof majority of 60 in the Senate. It is very unlikely at this point that that will happen. There are, however, a number of close races in the Senate that bear watching.
In case you haven't felt like looking up this information for yourself, I've decided to put it all right here so you can keep up with the Senate races on Election night just as easily as seeing which States go for which candidate in the electoral college for the Presidential Election.
Each two years, 1/3 of the Senate seats come up for election. This year there are also two seats up in special elections.
Eleven of the seats up this election cycle currently belong to Democrats. All 11 seats will most likely stay Democratic as all of the incumbent Democrats hold sizable leads in polls.
Eighteen of the seats up for reelection belong to Republicans. Ten of those seats will remain Republican.
Jeff Sessions-Alabama
Pat Roberts-Kansas
Susan Collins-Maine
Thad Cochran-Mississippi
Jim Inhofe-Oklahoma
Lindsey Graham-South Carolina
Lamar Alexander-Tennessee
John Cornyn-Texas (despite my vote for Rick Noriega)
Michael Enzi-Wyoming
and John Barrasso-Wyoming (in a Special Election to replace Craig Thomas(R))
There are also five seats that were held by Republicans who are not seeking reelection. Of those five, the Republican nominee will likely hold onto the seat in two of the races, Jim Risch(R) of Idaho in place of Larry Craig(R) and Mike Johanns(R) of Nebraska in place of Chuck Hagel(R). The Democrats look like they will gain three seats in the other races. Mark Udall(D) over Bob Schaffer(R) in Colorado to replace Wayne Allard, Tom Udall(D) over Steve Pearce(R) to replace Pete Domenici(R) in New Mexico (Tom Udall of NM and Mark Udall of CO are cousins), and Mark Warner(D) over Jim Gilmore(R) to replace John Warner(R) (and no relation to Mark Warner) in Virginia.
So there are three seats that the Democrats will gain, added to the 49 that they currently hold it brings the number to 52.
Of the eight remaining seats held by Republican incumbents, Jeanne Shaheen(D) will unseat Senator John Sununu(R) of New Hampshire, bringing the number to 53.
Jeff Merkley(D) of Oregon also holds a sizable lead over Senator Gordon Smith(R) 47.0% to 41.7% (according to the polling average on FiveThirtyEight.com) this seat will likely go Democratic bringing the total to 54, but is worth keeping an eye on.
Senator Mitch McConnell(R) of Kentucky, on the other hand, will likely hold on to his seat over challenger Bruce Lunsford(D). FiveThirtyEight.com shows him with a 48.2% to 43.8% lead in the polls.
Likewise, Senator Roger Wicker(R) of Mississippi will hold onto the seat formally held by Trent Lott in a special election against challenger Ronnie Musgrove. FiveThirtyEight.com shows Wicker with a 50.5% to 42.4% lead in the polls.
So at this point we can safely count on the Democrats having 54 seats, now....
The Races to Watch
In Georgia, Senator Saxby Chambliss(R) is in a tight race with Jim Martin(D) and holds a slight lead in the polls 47.3% to 43.5%, but the reason that this is an important race to watch is that if neither candidate gets over 50% of the vote there will be a runoff on December 2 without the third party candidates which will likely favor Martin's bid.
Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska was just found guilty of fraud by accepting gifts including free work on his house. Partly due to this he has found himself in quite a race with Democratic challenger Mark Begich. Begich, in fact, now holds a sizable lead in the polls taken after the announcement of a Guilty finding, 55.2% to 39.8% and it appears increasingly likely that this will become seat number 55 for the Democrats.
In North Carolina there has been a lot of news about Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole's airing of a campaign ad accusing challenger Kay Hagen(D) of being "Godless" due to a campaign contribution made by an Atheist group. This dirty, negative ad appears to have backfired, however, as Hagen has made some gains in the extremely tight race. Polls show her leading 46.4% to 43.2%.
In Minnesota, Senator Norm Coleman has found himself in a tight race with comedian and former radio talk show host Al Franken (probably best known for his time as head writer on Saturday Night Live and as Stuart "I'm good enough, I'm smart enough, and dog-gone it, people like me" Smalley). This race is officially a toss up and a virtual tie and could go either way tomorrow. Polls show Franken has a minuscule (practically nonexistent) lead 39.5% to 39.4%.
So, if the Democrats somehow manage to win each of these four "Races to Watch", they would hold 58 seats to the Republicans 40. If you add in the two Independent Senators who often vote with the Democratic block, then it is virtually the 60 seats needed to block a filibuster (aka the Magic 60). Although, this is not as strong a 60 as the Democrats would prefer considering one of those Independents is Joe Lieberman who campaigned for John McCain, and there is no guarantee that the two Independents will vote with the Democrats. At any rate, the Democrats winning all four of the "Races to Watch" remains a long shot. It will definitely be worth keeping an eye on along with the Presidential results, however.
In case you haven't felt like looking up this information for yourself, I've decided to put it all right here so you can keep up with the Senate races on Election night just as easily as seeing which States go for which candidate in the electoral college for the Presidential Election.
Each two years, 1/3 of the Senate seats come up for election. This year there are also two seats up in special elections.
Eleven of the seats up this election cycle currently belong to Democrats. All 11 seats will most likely stay Democratic as all of the incumbent Democrats hold sizable leads in polls.
Eighteen of the seats up for reelection belong to Republicans. Ten of those seats will remain Republican.
Jeff Sessions-Alabama
Pat Roberts-Kansas
Susan Collins-Maine
Thad Cochran-Mississippi
Jim Inhofe-Oklahoma
Lindsey Graham-South Carolina
Lamar Alexander-Tennessee
John Cornyn-Texas (despite my vote for Rick Noriega)
Michael Enzi-Wyoming
and John Barrasso-Wyoming (in a Special Election to replace Craig Thomas(R))
There are also five seats that were held by Republicans who are not seeking reelection. Of those five, the Republican nominee will likely hold onto the seat in two of the races, Jim Risch(R) of Idaho in place of Larry Craig(R) and Mike Johanns(R) of Nebraska in place of Chuck Hagel(R). The Democrats look like they will gain three seats in the other races. Mark Udall(D) over Bob Schaffer(R) in Colorado to replace Wayne Allard, Tom Udall(D) over Steve Pearce(R) to replace Pete Domenici(R) in New Mexico (Tom Udall of NM and Mark Udall of CO are cousins), and Mark Warner(D) over Jim Gilmore(R) to replace John Warner(R) (and no relation to Mark Warner) in Virginia.
So there are three seats that the Democrats will gain, added to the 49 that they currently hold it brings the number to 52.
Of the eight remaining seats held by Republican incumbents, Jeanne Shaheen(D) will unseat Senator John Sununu(R) of New Hampshire, bringing the number to 53.
Jeff Merkley(D) of Oregon also holds a sizable lead over Senator Gordon Smith(R) 47.0% to 41.7% (according to the polling average on FiveThirtyEight.com) this seat will likely go Democratic bringing the total to 54, but is worth keeping an eye on.
Senator Mitch McConnell(R) of Kentucky, on the other hand, will likely hold on to his seat over challenger Bruce Lunsford(D). FiveThirtyEight.com shows him with a 48.2% to 43.8% lead in the polls.
Likewise, Senator Roger Wicker(R) of Mississippi will hold onto the seat formally held by Trent Lott in a special election against challenger Ronnie Musgrove. FiveThirtyEight.com shows Wicker with a 50.5% to 42.4% lead in the polls.
So at this point we can safely count on the Democrats having 54 seats, now....
The Races to Watch
In Georgia, Senator Saxby Chambliss(R) is in a tight race with Jim Martin(D) and holds a slight lead in the polls 47.3% to 43.5%, but the reason that this is an important race to watch is that if neither candidate gets over 50% of the vote there will be a runoff on December 2 without the third party candidates which will likely favor Martin's bid.
Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska was just found guilty of fraud by accepting gifts including free work on his house. Partly due to this he has found himself in quite a race with Democratic challenger Mark Begich. Begich, in fact, now holds a sizable lead in the polls taken after the announcement of a Guilty finding, 55.2% to 39.8% and it appears increasingly likely that this will become seat number 55 for the Democrats.
In North Carolina there has been a lot of news about Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole's airing of a campaign ad accusing challenger Kay Hagen(D) of being "Godless" due to a campaign contribution made by an Atheist group. This dirty, negative ad appears to have backfired, however, as Hagen has made some gains in the extremely tight race. Polls show her leading 46.4% to 43.2%.
In Minnesota, Senator Norm Coleman has found himself in a tight race with comedian and former radio talk show host Al Franken (probably best known for his time as head writer on Saturday Night Live and as Stuart "I'm good enough, I'm smart enough, and dog-gone it, people like me" Smalley). This race is officially a toss up and a virtual tie and could go either way tomorrow. Polls show Franken has a minuscule (practically nonexistent) lead 39.5% to 39.4%.
So, if the Democrats somehow manage to win each of these four "Races to Watch", they would hold 58 seats to the Republicans 40. If you add in the two Independent Senators who often vote with the Democratic block, then it is virtually the 60 seats needed to block a filibuster (aka the Magic 60). Although, this is not as strong a 60 as the Democrats would prefer considering one of those Independents is Joe Lieberman who campaigned for John McCain, and there is no guarantee that the two Independents will vote with the Democrats. At any rate, the Democrats winning all four of the "Races to Watch" remains a long shot. It will definitely be worth keeping an eye on along with the Presidential results, however.
Labels:
2008,
election day,
Magic 60,
November 4th,
Senate Races
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Gotcha Media
This woman deserves to be fired. Barbara West, an anchor for WFTV in Orlando, Florida asked Joe Biden questions that might even have been too biased for FOX News. She is clearly not at all objective as she "interviews" (if it can even be called interviewing) the Democratic Vice Presidential Candidate.
Although, it should have been clear when her bio on the WFTV website highlights "From Washington, D.C. I covered the inauguration of President Bush and the impeachment of President Clinton." Her husband Wade West is a former Republican political strategist. So, perhaps we shouldn't be surprised by this complete lack of objectivity made even more absurd considering the obvious lack of real political knowledge by Ms. West as she attempts to embarass Joe Biden, but only suceeds in making herself look stupid.
To quote the great Dr. Middleton, "That's not news!" Where's Sarah Palin calling out the "Gotcha Media" now?
I am quite proud, however, of Joe Biden's answers. He did a good job against this attack.
Although, it should have been clear when her bio on the WFTV website highlights "From Washington, D.C. I covered the inauguration of President Bush and the impeachment of President Clinton." Her husband Wade West is a former Republican political strategist. So, perhaps we shouldn't be surprised by this complete lack of objectivity made even more absurd considering the obvious lack of real political knowledge by Ms. West as she attempts to embarass Joe Biden, but only suceeds in making herself look stupid.
To quote the great Dr. Middleton, "That's not news!" Where's Sarah Palin calling out the "Gotcha Media" now?
I am quite proud, however, of Joe Biden's answers. He did a good job against this attack.
Labels:
Barbara West,
Gotcha Media,
Joe Biden,
Sarah Palin
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Battlestar Galactica Open?
This is hilarious, had to share.
Labels:
Battlestar Galactica,
Cylons,
John McCain,
Sarah Palin
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Dave Letterman Talks About John McCain Dissing Him
John McCain was supposed to be on Letterman, but because he "suspended his campaign" he did not appear on Letterman. Above are some of Dave's thoughts on this.
"What are you going to do if you're elected and things get tough? Suspend being president? We've got a guy like that now!"
-Dave Letterman
Thursday, September 11, 2008
9-11, Seven Years Later
Everyone of course remembers exactly where they were when they heard or saw.
I wasn't one to wake up early back in those days, but on that particular day I had a doctors appointment for 9:00am. Therefore, I was up and on the way when it happened. Immediately after my appointment I headed to school (TCU, go Frogs) just to be with other people, hoping they might help me process this changed environment in which we found ourselves. I was in the student center watching the news with many others when the second plane hit. I felt sick to my stomach. I still have a problem watching the footage as it reminds me of when I saw it happen live.
Everyone alive at that time will always be marked by what happened that day and the effects of that event continue to affect us today as we get nearer to the most important election in the history of our great country, a country that has been pushed far off course in the last 7 years at the hands of George W Bush.
Jim Wallis, creator of social justice oriented website and magazine Sojourners as well as author of The Great Awakening. Reviving Faith & Politics in a Post-Religious Right America and God's Politics: Why the Right Gets It Wrong and the Left Doesn't Get It, had this to say today in his Sojourners email, and I think it is worth sharing and contemplating.
Reflecting on Our Response to 9/11
Seven years ago this morning, airplanes were flown into the World Trade Center towers, the Pentagon, and a field in rural Pennsylvania. The next day I joined with a few others to draft the following statement. In a few weeks, more than 4,000 of America's religious leaders of all faiths had signed it and it was printed as an ad in The New York Times.
Seven years later, as we remember that day, it is appropriate to reflect on this statement and to wonder how the world would be different if its counsel had been heeded.
We demanded "that those responsible for these utterly evil acts be found and brought to justice. Those culpable must not escape accountability." Yet after seven years of war in Afghanistan, we are still engaged against a resurgent Taliban and al Qaeda, and Osama bin Laden has still not been found. Then, 9/11 was used as a rationale to invade and occupy Iraq, a conflict that has now taken the lives of more than 4,000 American troops and countless Iraqis. Rather than "the vision of community, tolerance, compassion, justice, and the sacredness of human life, which lies at the heart of all our religious traditions," we have seen the erosion of our civil liberties, torture at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo, and indefinite detentions without trial.
Today on this anniversary, let us pause to remember those who died, to reflect on what has happened since, and once again, "Let us rededicate ourselves to global peace, human dignity, and the eradication of the injustice that breeds rage and vengeance." We offered a different way to deny the terrorists their victory, which, I believe, could still be followed. It's not too late to change our course. Please read and reflect upon the original statement.
I wasn't one to wake up early back in those days, but on that particular day I had a doctors appointment for 9:00am. Therefore, I was up and on the way when it happened. Immediately after my appointment I headed to school (TCU, go Frogs) just to be with other people, hoping they might help me process this changed environment in which we found ourselves. I was in the student center watching the news with many others when the second plane hit. I felt sick to my stomach. I still have a problem watching the footage as it reminds me of when I saw it happen live.
Everyone alive at that time will always be marked by what happened that day and the effects of that event continue to affect us today as we get nearer to the most important election in the history of our great country, a country that has been pushed far off course in the last 7 years at the hands of George W Bush.
Jim Wallis, creator of social justice oriented website and magazine Sojourners as well as author of The Great Awakening. Reviving Faith & Politics in a Post-Religious Right America and God's Politics: Why the Right Gets It Wrong and the Left Doesn't Get It, had this to say today in his Sojourners email, and I think it is worth sharing and contemplating.
Reflecting on Our Response to 9/11
Seven years ago this morning, airplanes were flown into the World Trade Center towers, the Pentagon, and a field in rural Pennsylvania. The next day I joined with a few others to draft the following statement. In a few weeks, more than 4,000 of America's religious leaders of all faiths had signed it and it was printed as an ad in The New York Times.
Seven years later, as we remember that day, it is appropriate to reflect on this statement and to wonder how the world would be different if its counsel had been heeded.
We demanded "that those responsible for these utterly evil acts be found and brought to justice. Those culpable must not escape accountability." Yet after seven years of war in Afghanistan, we are still engaged against a resurgent Taliban and al Qaeda, and Osama bin Laden has still not been found. Then, 9/11 was used as a rationale to invade and occupy Iraq, a conflict that has now taken the lives of more than 4,000 American troops and countless Iraqis. Rather than "the vision of community, tolerance, compassion, justice, and the sacredness of human life, which lies at the heart of all our religious traditions," we have seen the erosion of our civil liberties, torture at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo, and indefinite detentions without trial.
Today on this anniversary, let us pause to remember those who died, to reflect on what has happened since, and once again, "Let us rededicate ourselves to global peace, human dignity, and the eradication of the injustice that breeds rage and vengeance." We offered a different way to deny the terrorists their victory, which, I believe, could still be followed. It's not too late to change our course. Please read and reflect upon the original statement.
Deny Them Their Victory: A Religious Response to Terrorism
We, American religious leaders, share the broken hearts of our fellow citizens. The worst terrorist attack in history that assaulted New York City, Washington, D.C., and Pennsylvania has been felt in every American community. Each life lost was of unique and sacred value in the eyes of God, and the connections Americans feel to those lives run very deep. In the face of such a cruel catastrophe, it is a time to look to God and to each other for the strength we need and the response we will make. We must dig deep to the roots of our faith for sustenance, solace and wisdom.
First, we must find a word of consolation for the untold pain and suffering of our people. Our congregations will offer their practical and pastoral resources to bind up the wounds of the nation. We can become safe places to weep and secure places to begin rebuilding our shattered lives and communities. Our houses of worship should become public arenas for common prayer, community discussion, eventual healing, and forgiveness.
Second, we offer a word of sober restraint as our nation discerns what its response will be. We share the deep anger toward those who so callously and massively destroy innocent lives, no matter what the grievances or injustices invoked. In the name of God, we too demand that those responsible for these utterly evil acts be found and brought to justice. Those culpable must not escape accountability. But we must not, out of anger and vengeance, indiscriminately retaliate in ways that bring on even more loss of innocent life. We pray that President Bush and members of Congress will seek the wisdom of God as they decide upon the appropriate response.
Third, we face deep and profound questions of what this attack on America will do to us as a nation. The terrorists have offered us a stark view of the world they would create, where the remedy to every human grievance and injustice is a resort to the random and cowardly violence of revenge -- even against the most innocent. Having taken thousands of our lives, attacked our national symbols, forced our political leaders to flee their chambers of governance, disrupted our work and families, and struck fear into the hearts of our children, the terrorists must feel victorious.
But we can deny them their victory by refusing to submit to a world created in their image. Terrorism inflicts not only death and destruction but also emotional oppression to further its aims. We must not allow this terror to drive us away from being the people God has called us to be. We assert the vision of community, tolerance, compassion, justice, and the sacredness of human life, which lies at the heart of all our religious traditions. America must be a safe place for all our citizens in all their diversity. It is especially important that our citizens who share national origins, ethnicity, or religion with whoever attacked us are, themselves, protected among us.
Our American illusion of invulnerability has been shattered. From now on, we will look at the world in a different way, and this attack on our life as a nation will become a test of our national character. Let us make the right choices in this crisis -- to pray, act, and unite against the bitter fruits of division, hatred and violence. Let us rededicate ourselves to global peace, human dignity, and the eradication of the injustice that breeds rage and vengeance.
As we gather in our houses of worship, let us begin a process of seeking the healing and grace of God.
Saturday, August 30, 2008
Biggest Political Blunder Ever?
Let's take the world's stupidest stand and truly mean it.
-Okkervil River
Yesterday morning, just before 10:00am Central Standard Time, CNN reported that John McCain had made his VP selection, Sarah Palin.
Needless to say, I was shocked.
The entire push of the McCain campaign seemed to be centered around the argument that Barack Obama didn't have the necessary experience to become president. Less then 12 hours earlier, after Obama's outstanding speech to close the Democratic National Convention, McCain's staff had issued a release trying to point out just that. They said as inspirational as Barack Obama is, he's still not ready. This even after they knew that their choice for the person to be "a heartbeat away from the Presidency" (as it is said) is even less experienced.
One advisor of John McCain shared that opinion with the New York Times, admitting that McCain's own advisors were surprised by the pick.
From the New York Times
As reports circulated on television and cable networks on Friday morning that Senator John McCain might have selected Ms. Palin as his running mate, McCain advisers expressed bewilderment. One adviser said that while Mr. McCain thinks highly of Ms. Palin, who is opposed to abortion rights and would be welcomed by Christian conservatives, her less than two years in office would undercut one of the McCain campaign’s central criticisms of Senator Barack Obama — that he is too inexperienced to be commander-in-chief.
“While it’s a dramatic and interesting choice, it would make the argument he’s making difficult to make,” said one McCain adviser.
I love that. "McCain advisors expressed bewilderment." Now, of course, the Republicans have had time to get "on message", and the argument they have decided to make (as ridiculous as it may be) is that Palin is actually more experienced then Obama. Let's take a closer look at this claim.
Their argument is that since Palin's experience is executive experience, while Obama's is strictly in the Senate, her experience is somehow worth more. I might agree that extensive executive experience is worth more then extensive experience in the Senate, but there is no way that less then two years as Governor of Alaska is worth more then over 3 years in the Senate. Looking at it another way, Palin has less then 2 years of experience in politics at a State or higher level, Barack Obama has over 11 years of experience in politics at a State or higher level.
Doesn't really seem close.
And while Palin's experience is executive, it should be pointed out that she is the governor of the smallest state in America population wise. The population of all of Alaska is roughly the same as the population of Austin, Texas.
Palin won her governorship with approx. 115,000 votes. Meanwhile, over 85,000 people were at Invesco field to hear Barack Obama speak Thursday night.
So, while Palin's experience is executive, I would argue that it is worth a lot less then the experience that Barack Obama has accrued in his political career. And in the executive experience that Palin has been able to accumulate in her less then two years in office, there has been no way for her to learn about inner-city violence, drugs, or the other issues that large cities are infested with, but are relatively rare in Alaska, and that's to say nothing of foreign policy, the most important issue facing our Country today. So, in that case, perhaps McCain should have chosen the mayor of Austin. The experience of that job arguably outweighs the experience gained from being the Governor of Alaska.
And their work before entering politics is in favor of Obama as well. Barack having been a civil rights lawyer and a community organizer seems more apt towards becoming president someday then being a beauty pageant runner up and a sports reporter. (Palin reportedly wanted to work for ESPN so badly that she named one of her daughters Bristol, the town in Connecticut that houses ESPN headquarters.)
So, the only way to argue that Palin is the most experienced is to grossly outweigh executive experience over legislative experience. If you make that argument, you are actually saying that Palin is more experienced then John McCain.
And that's just laughable.
Therefore, so is the idea that Palin is more experienced then Obama.
But really, the question isn't about whether Palin is more experienced or just as experienced as Barack Obama (which I think it's clear that she is not). What it means is that the Republicans, specifically McCain's campaign, must not view experience as that important, since the person they have chosen to be a heartbeat away from the presidency (and a president who is at 72 years old, set to be the oldest president ever elected, and has had four occurrences of melanoma, a potentially lethal type of skin cancer) has so little experience.
Therefore, simply, the argument that Obama is not experienced enough for the presidency is no longer a valid one. McCain should not get to try and make it again.
So, why would McCain make this choice?
Well, there is only one reason that I can think of for McCain to have picked a woman whose selection takes away the only argument he had against Obama. He's trying to pick up the vote of the disgruntled Hillary supporters.
First of all, I thought that the speeches by Hillary and Bill Clinton at the DNC went a long way towards healing the separation. So, is it possible that some of the Hillary supporters will head over to McCain's ticket? I suppose that anything's possible, but choosing an inexperienced and unknown woman with exactly the opposite values isn't the way to win over Hillary's supporters in my mind. In fact it's actually quite condescending. Two women who voted for Hillary in the Texas Primary that I have spoken to have both called it insulting.
James Carville, Clinton supporter and famous democratic advisor, said on CNN the night of this announcement that the idea of Clinton supporters voting for McCain because of Palin was insulting. His feeling was that if Clinton got 18 million votes, 8 of them might vote for a creationist, gun-toting, pro-lifer with no experience.
By picking someone who goes against his message ("Obama's not ready") there is little question that picking up the disgruntled Hillary supporters is what this choice was really all about.
The sad thing is, McCain had two other females available who are extremely qualified and therefore better suited to winning over the female voters, Texas Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson (arguably one of the most popular politicians amongst Republicans right now and no question holds that spot amongst Texas Republicans) and Condoleezza Rice, the current Secretary of State. However, by choosing a woman with so little experience, this choice smacks of condescension. We have a woman on the ticket, you voted for another woman, therefore you'll vote for us despite the facts.
There is no question that this is anything other then insulting.
McCain and Palin are ignoring this however and flaunting their desire to try and win over Clinton's supporters. When Palin was introduced as McCain's running mate, she referenced Geraldine Ferraro (the first woman on a major party ticket, she was Mondale's VP in 1984) and Clinton, specifically saying, "Hillary left 18 million cracks in the highest, hardest glass ceiling in America. But it turns out the women of America aren't finished yet, and we can shatter that glass ceiling once and for all." The women that voted for Clinton are smart enough to recognize that Palin stands for everything Clinton was running against and that voting for her just because she's a woman wouldn't be continuing what Hillary stood for in her historic run.
One rumor that I've heard is that Kay Bailey Hutchison was the top pick for the spot, but she declined to be considered saying that she wanted to focus on running for Governor of Texas in 2010 (and possibly her own run at the White House in 2012 or 2016). If that is true, I can't help but wonder if Senator Hutchison didn't want to be used that way (or perhaps figured McCain wasn't going to beat Obama anyway and didn't want to be a losing Vice Presidential candidate).
So, McCain's hope is clearly that by choosing a woman as his VP he'll win votes simply because she's a woman. Another problem I have with this attitude is that I don't think the majority of the 18 million plus votes received by both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama were cast because the candidate was a woman or black. The candidates themselves are about so much more then either their gender or their race.
Republican's of course will argue that Palin is the same type of candidate. They will point to her record as someone who took on her own party to clean up the corruption that was rampant in Alaskan politics. That is impressive, but the same day she was announced as the Republican VP candidate the story of her own corruption was released.
Alaskan State Trooper Mike Wooten also happens to be the ex-brother in law of Sarah Palin. Palin, her husband, and her sister called for his firing during a particular nasty child custody case between Wooten and Palin's sister.
The Department of Public Safety apparently made an investigation of the claims against Wooten (including that he used a Taser on his step-son, shot a moose out of season, lied on his application, and faked a workman's comp claim.) Yet Wooten was not fired.
In a phone call (apparently one of many made) from one of Palin's aides to a representative of the Department of Public Safety, Frank Bailey, Palin's aide, asks why Wooten has not been let go. He lists the reasons they feel Wooten should be let go.
The first five minutes of the audio call that has been uncovered by the media is concerning a contract situation that the DPS representative seems to think is an odd reason for such a phone call. Finally, Bailey gets to the real reason for his call, Mike Wooten. One has to wonder why an aide should make such a phone call. He gives his info on why Wooten is a bad trooper and claims that the trooper is "a bad recruiting tool" as if the claims they are making are known by the Alaskan population at large and would keep good people from wanting to be a State Trooper.
It seems as Bailey is working towards his real goal he feels uncomfortable about making this call, which leads me to believe he had been told to make this phone call and told to pressure the DPS to fire Wooten.
One part of the recording I found interesting was when Bailey brings up the alleged falsehood Wooten put on his application. The DPS representative asked how Bailey knew that Wooten had lied on his application, saying such info is classified. Bailey answers he doesn't feel comfortable answering how he knows. Pretty suspicious.
After the audio of this call was released, Palin admitted to the Anchorage Daily News that it was "a smoking gun" conversation. After having previously said that no one in her family or administration was attempting to get Wooten fired she now admitted that she did "now have to tell Alaskans that such pressure could have been perceived to exist although I have only now become aware of it."
After Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan refused to fire Wooten, Palin fired him. She claims that her firing of Monegan had absolutely nothing to do with Wooten at all, but it sure is suspicious. Monegan claims his firing came completely "out of the blue".
There are two ways of looking at this situation. One, Palin used her station and power to try and get her ex-brother in law fired out of anger, and when she failed, took her anger out on Wooten's boss. Or two, that she has so little control of her staff that aides are using her station and power in order to pressure the Department of Public Safety to fire Wooten. And, again, remembering that the population of Alaska is roughly the same as the population of Austin, Texas, that staff is nowhere near as extensive as say the staff of the Vice President of the United States would be.
So, if we take Sarah Palin at her word, then we can only conclude that she is unable to handle her own staff, which at the moment is no where near the size that it would be if McCain were to win.
I think it is far more likely, however, that Palin was attempting to use her position as Governor of Alaska to settle a score with her ex-brother in law, and that scares me that McCain wants to give her an even more powerful position.
Of course, it makes it even more ironic that she ran and was elected on the platform of cleaning up political corruption and is under investigation less then two years into her term. And that despite this glaring mark against her one strength, McCain still chose her for the Republican Vice Presidential spot (causing bewilderment on behalf of his top advisors).
Of course, I suppose that it's possible he didn't know about this situation. After all, McCain had only met Palin once before naming her as his choice for VP. They met 6 months ago for the first time. They had one phone conversation after that (last Sunday) and then McCain offered her the position.
Couple this troubling news with the fact that his advisors were "bewildered" by the pick and one has to wonder if McCain knows exactly what he is doing. Any plusses that can be found in picking an inexperienced, creationist (Palin told the Anchorage Daily News that she believes Creationism should be taught alongside evolution, they then informed her that the Supreme Court had called the teaching of Creationism an illegal infusion of religion into public schools, which she apparently didn't know, because she then backtracked and said it should be taught if it came up), life long NRA member, and fiercely pro-life candidate (which will help appease the base who aren't thrilled with McCain) would be outweighed by all of the negatives, including her age (younger even then Obama) which one McCain supporter said might negatively reflect on McCain's age (an issue that hadn't been brought up too often by the democrats until this decision) as the election grew closer. And while the base might be appeased by this appointment (although that isn't guaranteed), most people believe that this is an election that will be decided by the moderate Republicans and independents, who are not going to look at this pick as anything but ridiculous.
And after writing all of this, I still haven’t brought up the fact that McCain is choosing for his vice-presidential spot someone who is completely unsure exactly what a Vice President does. When asked less then a month ago in an interview about the possibility of her becoming McCain’s pick for VP, this was her answer…
I'll tell you, I still can't answer that question until somebody answers for me what is it exactly that the VP does every day.
Maybe it’s time to find out, Governor Palin. Of course, I would like the Vice Presidential nominee to already have a handle on it before being chosen for the position, but to each their own, I suppose.
So, is this the biggest political blunder ever? Has there ever been a worse decision in American politics? Not since Alexander Hamilton agreed to a duel with Aaron Burr (because Dick Cheney isn't the only vice-president to have shot somebody while in office).
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Football Predictions
A week from today, the NFL kicks off another season. Already two of my fantasy football teams have drafted, this weekend the final three will have their drafts. In other words, yes, I'm ready for some football.
Today, I'm going to put up my preseason predictions for where all of the teams are going to finish, who will make the playoffs, and what those teams will do in the playoffs.
Let's get started...
NFC
East
1st-Philadelphia Eagles 11-5
2nd-New York Giants 10-6
3rd-Dallas Cowboys 8-8
4th-Washington Redskins 8-8
West
1st-Arizona Cardinals 9-7
2nd-Seattle Seahawks 8-8
3rd-St Louis Rams 6-10
4th-San Francisco 49ers 5-11
South
1st-New Orleans Saints 11-5
2nd-Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-7
3rd-Carolina Panthers 5-11
4th-Atlanta Falcons 2-14
North
1st-Chicago Bears 12-4
2nd-Minnesota Vikings 10-6
3rd-Green Bay Packers 7-9
4th-Detroit Lions 3-13
I have the Vikings and the Giants making the playoffs as the wild card teams and the Bears surprising the NFL to take the #1 seed in the NFC due to the surprising (to some people) play of Kyle Orton and the stellar defense and special teams.
AFC
East
1st-NY Jets 11-5
2nd-New England Patriots 9-7
3rd-Buffalo Bills 8-8
4th-Miami Dolphins 3-13
West
1st-San Diego Chargers 14-2
2nd-Oakland Raiders 7-9
3rd-Denver Broncos 4-12
4th-Kansas City Chiefs 3-13
South
1st-Jacksonville Jaguars 12-4
2nd-Indianapolis Colts 10-6
3rd-Houston Texans 10-6
4th-Tennessee Titans 4-12
North
1st-Cleveland Browns 11-5
2nd-Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5
3rd-Cincinnati Bengals 10-6
4th-Baltimore Ravens 2-14
The Steelers and Colts make the playoffs as wild card teams, the Texans and Bengals left out due to tiebreakers, and the Chargers look almost unbeatable.
Most Valuable Player-LT
Offensive Player of the Year-LT
Defensive Player of the Year-Brian Urlacher
Offensive Rookie of the Year-Matt Forte
Defensive Rookie of the Year-Glenn Dorsey
Coach of the Year-Norv Turner
Playoffs
NFC
1st round-
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings at Arizona Cardinals
Giants and Vikings move on.
2nd round-
New York Giants at Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles
Bears and Eagles move on.
NFC Championship Game
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Da Bears are in the Super Bowl for the second time in 3 years
AFC
1st round-
Indianapolis Colts at NY Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Jets and Steelers move on.
2nd round-
NY Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers
Jags and Chargers move on.
AFC Championship Game
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers
San Diego Super Chargers are Super Bowl Bound.
SUPER BOWL
Da Bears vs the Super Chargers
DA BEARS!!!!!!
Okay, I admit that I'm a huge Bears fan. But I truly believe that the Bears are going to be much better then anyone else is predicting, and I'd rather have predicted them to win the Super Bowl the year that they do then predict that they wouldn't and be proven wrong. What type of fan would I be then?
Other Predictions...
The Cowboys are going to be hurt by a suspect Offensive Line that played better then they were last year for Tony Sporano. This year they'll come back to earth. The defense is very suspect. The offense will fall apart if there is an injury to either TO or Witten, and the running game will suffer because Barber will be unable to carry the full load and will miss Julius Jones, because Felix Jones is not going to be able to cut it.
The Eagles will be good thanks to the resurgence of Donovan McNabb who will be the best QB in the league.
The Patriots will struggle because of their Defense which will show its age this season. The offense will still be explosive, but without a good defense they'll lose some high scoring games.
Arizona will go 6-0 against their own division and 3-7 against everyone else (3-8 counting the playoffs).
Aaron Rogers will be hurt by week 3 while Farve has a pro bowl season for the Jets.
Can't wait to see how my predictions turn out.
Are You Ready For Some Football?
Today, I'm going to put up my preseason predictions for where all of the teams are going to finish, who will make the playoffs, and what those teams will do in the playoffs.
Let's get started...
NFC
East
1st-Philadelphia Eagles 11-5
2nd-New York Giants 10-6
3rd-Dallas Cowboys 8-8
4th-Washington Redskins 8-8
West
1st-Arizona Cardinals 9-7
2nd-Seattle Seahawks 8-8
3rd-St Louis Rams 6-10
4th-San Francisco 49ers 5-11
South
1st-New Orleans Saints 11-5
2nd-Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-7
3rd-Carolina Panthers 5-11
4th-Atlanta Falcons 2-14
North
1st-Chicago Bears 12-4
2nd-Minnesota Vikings 10-6
3rd-Green Bay Packers 7-9
4th-Detroit Lions 3-13
I have the Vikings and the Giants making the playoffs as the wild card teams and the Bears surprising the NFL to take the #1 seed in the NFC due to the surprising (to some people) play of Kyle Orton and the stellar defense and special teams.
AFC
East
1st-NY Jets 11-5
2nd-New England Patriots 9-7
3rd-Buffalo Bills 8-8
4th-Miami Dolphins 3-13
West
1st-San Diego Chargers 14-2
2nd-Oakland Raiders 7-9
3rd-Denver Broncos 4-12
4th-Kansas City Chiefs 3-13
South
1st-Jacksonville Jaguars 12-4
2nd-Indianapolis Colts 10-6
3rd-Houston Texans 10-6
4th-Tennessee Titans 4-12
North
1st-Cleveland Browns 11-5
2nd-Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5
3rd-Cincinnati Bengals 10-6
4th-Baltimore Ravens 2-14
The Steelers and Colts make the playoffs as wild card teams, the Texans and Bengals left out due to tiebreakers, and the Chargers look almost unbeatable.
Most Valuable Player-LT
Offensive Player of the Year-LT
Defensive Player of the Year-Brian Urlacher
Offensive Rookie of the Year-Matt Forte
Defensive Rookie of the Year-Glenn Dorsey
Coach of the Year-Norv Turner
Playoffs
NFC
1st round-
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings at Arizona Cardinals
Giants and Vikings move on.
2nd round-
New York Giants at Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles
Bears and Eagles move on.
NFC Championship Game
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Da Bears are in the Super Bowl for the second time in 3 years
AFC
1st round-
Indianapolis Colts at NY Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Jets and Steelers move on.
2nd round-
NY Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers
Jags and Chargers move on.
AFC Championship Game
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers
San Diego Super Chargers are Super Bowl Bound.
SUPER BOWL
Da Bears vs the Super Chargers
DA BEARS!!!!!!
Okay, I admit that I'm a huge Bears fan. But I truly believe that the Bears are going to be much better then anyone else is predicting, and I'd rather have predicted them to win the Super Bowl the year that they do then predict that they wouldn't and be proven wrong. What type of fan would I be then?
Other Predictions...
The Cowboys are going to be hurt by a suspect Offensive Line that played better then they were last year for Tony Sporano. This year they'll come back to earth. The defense is very suspect. The offense will fall apart if there is an injury to either TO or Witten, and the running game will suffer because Barber will be unable to carry the full load and will miss Julius Jones, because Felix Jones is not going to be able to cut it.
The Eagles will be good thanks to the resurgence of Donovan McNabb who will be the best QB in the league.
The Patriots will struggle because of their Defense which will show its age this season. The offense will still be explosive, but without a good defense they'll lose some high scoring games.
Arizona will go 6-0 against their own division and 3-7 against everyone else (3-8 counting the playoffs).
Aaron Rogers will be hurt by week 3 while Farve has a pro bowl season for the Jets.
Can't wait to see how my predictions turn out.
Are You Ready For Some Football?
Thursday, August 21, 2008
The Olympics (My thoughts on the Games so far, plus I Solve the Gymnastic Judging Problem)
I'm not going to lie, I love the Olympics. Partly because I love competition. That's part of it. But a larger part is probably the pageantry excites me. I like the dedication that the Olympics requires of a majority of its athletes. That's impressive. And there are always good stories at the Olympics and I'm a sucker for good stories.
These Olympics have been outstanding so far. There have been many memorable moments, Jamaican Usain Bolt winning gold and setting world records in the 100m and 200m while jogging, Jonathon Horton going all out on the Men's Horizontal Bar to win Silver, Jason Lezak in the Men's 4x100 freestyle relay to keep Phelp's hopes alive, and the comeback against the Belgium team to keep Misty May and Kerri Walsh from losing even a set in Olympic play all come to mind. For me, the most memorable moment will always be the men's 100m Butterfly. I was watching with a group of friends all of whom felt like as it happened that Phelps's quest was over. However, just as his hand hit the wall I knew that somehow against all odds he had won. I immediately yelled out that he had won and was quickly vindicated by the screen, his name and the number 1 appearing in his lane. I'll never forget watching the numerous slow motion replays from multiple angles confirming that which I was already sure of, that Phelps was the greatest athlete I had ever seen.
There have been many shocking moments as well, including early this morning when the US women's softball team lost the gold medal match to Japan. The first time ever that the US hasn't won the Softball gold. In fact, many people believe that the reason Softball isn't in the Olympics anymore after this year is because the IOC didn't believe that the US Softball team could ever be beat. I for one didn't think that there was anyway the US wouldn't be coming home with gold in softball, yet they'll have to settle for silver. Meanwhile in Baseball (also in it's last hurrah at the Olympics) people are shocked at the extra innings rule. If the game goes into the 11th inning, both teams will start the inning with runners on 1st and 2nd, no one out, and can start their lineup wherever they want. (For more on my thoughts on this, check out my post at 100 Years Later.) But perhaps the most shocking is the tie breaker in Woman's Gymnastics.
This tie breaking procedure was brought to light due to the Woman's Uneven Bars Final. Both He Kexin of China and Nastia Luikin of the US finished with an execution score of 9.025 (the difficulty for both was 7.7). Under the old rules, both would be awarded a Gold Medal.
The way that they come up with the execution score is that 6 judges all score the gymnast on a scale of 1 to 10 (10 being perfection). The highest score and lowest score are dropped. The remaining four scores are averaged together.
Here are the four scores remaining for each in this case.
He Kexin
9.1 9.1 9.0 8.9
Avg. 9.025
Natsia Luikin
9.1 9.0 9.0 9.0
Avg. 9.025
So, under the new rules, if tied at this point, the lowest remaining score is now dropped. This appears sort of arbitrary it could just as easily being the highest remaining score that is dropped. If that had been the case, Luikin would have won gold. As it is, she had to settle for silver.
Gymnastics have always been controversial. Everyone has talked about how the Chinese gymnasts are most likely under the Olympic required age of 16, but I don't really think that there should be an age requirement. If an 11 year old can compete at this level, she should be allowed to. That's just me. The new scoring system was brought about because of controversy. It is hoped that the difficulty score would take out some of the subjectivity from the judges.
Also, judges from the countries involved in the medal rounds are not allowed to judge, again trying to remove bias. This causes new problems, however. Primarily because the most experienced judges are from countries that are involved in the medal round and therefore the judges in the medal round are from countries that don't have a strong gymnastic program and therefore aren't as experienced at judging the execution of the athletes.
Of course, the bias of judges is a problem, even when the countries competing aren't being judged by judges from their own country or another country competing against them. While the NBC commentators are certainly biased themselves, they all agreed that Nastia Luikin had outperformed He Kexin, but the cheers of the Chinese crowd probably influenced the judges and caused slightly higher scores then she deserved.
So, what can be done about this? It seems no matter what there will be bias. Judging for gymnastics is just too subjective. Perhaps we should just stop watching it.
But wait, maybe there is an answer. And I am here to provide it.
If you've watched football recently (American football, but congrats to the US Women who just won the gold medal in the other football against Brazil) then perhaps you've seen the new technology that allows the announcers to turn all of the players into computer generated versions of themselves, allowing us to see the play from all different angles. The same thing could be done to the gymnasts.
In my idea, the judges would be seperated from the crowd, not allowed to watch the competition live. Instead, they would be shown a digital representation of the event. Not knowing who the gymnast was or what country he or she was from would remove all subjectivity, all bias, from the judging and allow the best judges to work throughout the contest.
Yet another problem solved by me. Same thing could work in Ice Skating in the Winter Olympics.
I'm just here to help.
These Olympics have been outstanding so far. There have been many memorable moments, Jamaican Usain Bolt winning gold and setting world records in the 100m and 200m while jogging, Jonathon Horton going all out on the Men's Horizontal Bar to win Silver, Jason Lezak in the Men's 4x100 freestyle relay to keep Phelp's hopes alive, and the comeback against the Belgium team to keep Misty May and Kerri Walsh from losing even a set in Olympic play all come to mind. For me, the most memorable moment will always be the men's 100m Butterfly. I was watching with a group of friends all of whom felt like as it happened that Phelps's quest was over. However, just as his hand hit the wall I knew that somehow against all odds he had won. I immediately yelled out that he had won and was quickly vindicated by the screen, his name and the number 1 appearing in his lane. I'll never forget watching the numerous slow motion replays from multiple angles confirming that which I was already sure of, that Phelps was the greatest athlete I had ever seen.
There have been many shocking moments as well, including early this morning when the US women's softball team lost the gold medal match to Japan. The first time ever that the US hasn't won the Softball gold. In fact, many people believe that the reason Softball isn't in the Olympics anymore after this year is because the IOC didn't believe that the US Softball team could ever be beat. I for one didn't think that there was anyway the US wouldn't be coming home with gold in softball, yet they'll have to settle for silver. Meanwhile in Baseball (also in it's last hurrah at the Olympics) people are shocked at the extra innings rule. If the game goes into the 11th inning, both teams will start the inning with runners on 1st and 2nd, no one out, and can start their lineup wherever they want. (For more on my thoughts on this, check out my post at 100 Years Later.) But perhaps the most shocking is the tie breaker in Woman's Gymnastics.
This tie breaking procedure was brought to light due to the Woman's Uneven Bars Final. Both He Kexin of China and Nastia Luikin of the US finished with an execution score of 9.025 (the difficulty for both was 7.7). Under the old rules, both would be awarded a Gold Medal.
The way that they come up with the execution score is that 6 judges all score the gymnast on a scale of 1 to 10 (10 being perfection). The highest score and lowest score are dropped. The remaining four scores are averaged together.
Here are the four scores remaining for each in this case.
He Kexin
9.1 9.1 9.0 8.9
Avg. 9.025
Natsia Luikin
9.1 9.0 9.0 9.0
Avg. 9.025
So, under the new rules, if tied at this point, the lowest remaining score is now dropped. This appears sort of arbitrary it could just as easily being the highest remaining score that is dropped. If that had been the case, Luikin would have won gold. As it is, she had to settle for silver.
Gymnastics have always been controversial. Everyone has talked about how the Chinese gymnasts are most likely under the Olympic required age of 16, but I don't really think that there should be an age requirement. If an 11 year old can compete at this level, she should be allowed to. That's just me. The new scoring system was brought about because of controversy. It is hoped that the difficulty score would take out some of the subjectivity from the judges.
Also, judges from the countries involved in the medal rounds are not allowed to judge, again trying to remove bias. This causes new problems, however. Primarily because the most experienced judges are from countries that are involved in the medal round and therefore the judges in the medal round are from countries that don't have a strong gymnastic program and therefore aren't as experienced at judging the execution of the athletes.
Of course, the bias of judges is a problem, even when the countries competing aren't being judged by judges from their own country or another country competing against them. While the NBC commentators are certainly biased themselves, they all agreed that Nastia Luikin had outperformed He Kexin, but the cheers of the Chinese crowd probably influenced the judges and caused slightly higher scores then she deserved.
So, what can be done about this? It seems no matter what there will be bias. Judging for gymnastics is just too subjective. Perhaps we should just stop watching it.
But wait, maybe there is an answer. And I am here to provide it.
If you've watched football recently (American football, but congrats to the US Women who just won the gold medal in the other football against Brazil) then perhaps you've seen the new technology that allows the announcers to turn all of the players into computer generated versions of themselves, allowing us to see the play from all different angles. The same thing could be done to the gymnasts.
In my idea, the judges would be seperated from the crowd, not allowed to watch the competition live. Instead, they would be shown a digital representation of the event. Not knowing who the gymnast was or what country he or she was from would remove all subjectivity, all bias, from the judging and allow the best judges to work throughout the contest.
Yet another problem solved by me. Same thing could work in Ice Skating in the Winter Olympics.
I'm just here to help.
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Some Literary Thoughts
I've been really into the books for Young Adults lately, partly because of the Harry Potter phenomenon, I suppose (at which I was at the forefront, I was into Harry before Goblet of Fire came out), and partly because of my time working at the ol' B&N. Many of my coworkers were reading a lot of the YA stuff as well, so we would often be reading the same things.
It is because of them I got into the Percy Jackson series by Rick Riordan (and meeting him didn't hurt, he's an awesome guy and very friendly unlike some authors who are a bit full of themselves.)
It's also because of them that I got into the Artemis Fowl series by Eoin Colfer. And I just finished the latest book in that series, which I think is actually the best of the entire series so far.
One book that they all raved about but that I never read despite their insistence was Twilight by Stephanie Meyer.
Until now.
I'm over 200 pages in now and I'm hooked. It's brilliantly well written, and despite the fact that it is pretty much a romance (which I'm not generally that into) I'm finding myself very intrigued by the story.
I wonder why I'm finding the best books that I've read lately are intended for a younger audience. Are all the best writers focusing on this market? Maybe I'm just not reading the right things for adults.
I don't know, but I definitely haven't been as impressed with the books I've read recently that are intended for adults as I have been with the ones that are intended for younger people. Maybe I'm still just young at heart.
Anyway, I heartily back the thirteen and fourteen year old girls when they tell you that Twilight is just amazing!
It is because of them I got into the Percy Jackson series by Rick Riordan (and meeting him didn't hurt, he's an awesome guy and very friendly unlike some authors who are a bit full of themselves.)
It's also because of them that I got into the Artemis Fowl series by Eoin Colfer. And I just finished the latest book in that series, which I think is actually the best of the entire series so far.
One book that they all raved about but that I never read despite their insistence was Twilight by Stephanie Meyer.
Until now.
I'm over 200 pages in now and I'm hooked. It's brilliantly well written, and despite the fact that it is pretty much a romance (which I'm not generally that into) I'm finding myself very intrigued by the story.
I wonder why I'm finding the best books that I've read lately are intended for a younger audience. Are all the best writers focusing on this market? Maybe I'm just not reading the right things for adults.
I don't know, but I definitely haven't been as impressed with the books I've read recently that are intended for adults as I have been with the ones that are intended for younger people. Maybe I'm still just young at heart.
Anyway, I heartily back the thirteen and fourteen year old girls when they tell you that Twilight is just amazing!
Friday, July 11, 2008
Reunited and It Feels So Good
Quote of the Day
So I thought I would share this story from CNN.com as I thought that it was quite heartwarming and since there is always so much negativity in the news, a story like this is a welcome change.
From www.cnn.com
DONETSK, Ukraine (CNN) -- A frail Irene Famulak clutched her brother on the airport tarmac, her arm wrapped around him in a tight embrace, tears streaming down their faces. It was the first time since 1942 they had seen each other, when she was 17 and he was just 7.
That was the night the invading Nazis came to take her away from her Ukrainian home.
"I remember it well because I kissed him good-bye, and he pushed me away," she said of her brother. "I asked, 'Why did you do that?' And he said that he doesn't like kisses."
"The Nazis told my mother that I was being taken to work in a German labor camp for six months. But it was, of course, much longer. I was there for years."
Both siblings survived the Holocaust and grew up on different sides of the Iron Curtain, not knowing the fate of the other.
But after 66 years apart, Famulak, 83, was reunited with her long lost 73-year-old brother, Wssewolod Galezkij. They held each other close this time, cherishing the moment.
"I don't believe anyone has ever known such happiness. Now, I truly believe I can die satisfied," Galezkij said.
Famulak made the long journey to Donetsk in eastern Ukraine from Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, after being contacted by the American Red Cross. The organization told her they had located her only surviving sibling.
Famulak said she spent World War II in a labor camp in Munich, Germany, working in the kitchens. She had been taken to the camp with her older sister. When it was liberated in 1945, Famulak stayed in Germany for several years, eventually emigrating to the United States in 1956.
She never saw her parents again after that day in 1942 when Nazis separated her from her family. She and her brother still have no idea what happened to their mother and father. Some of their siblings lived through the war, but later died; others, they never heard from again after being separated.
But her younger brother never gave up hope of tracking his sister down. He, too, was sent to a German labor camp, but after the war, he moved back to Ukraine, then a republic of the Soviet Union.
Under Soviet leader Josef Stalin, information on lost relatives was kept sealed, and Galezkij said it wasn't until reforms in the late 1980s, followed by the Soviet collapse, that he started making progress in finding his sister.
Even then, it took him more than 17 years to locate her in the United States. He broke down in tears as he spoke of his overwhelming happiness at finding her.
"When the Red Cross told me they had found her in America, it was such a joy," he said, sobbing.
In fact, he had to be taken to the hospital because he was so overcome when he first learned she was alive. At this week's reunion, there was a doctor on hand at the airport as a precaution.
Back in the United States, there were tears, too.
Linda Klein, the director of the American Red Cross Holocaust and War Victims Tracing Center, said the volunteer who helped the siblings find each other got caught up in the emotion herself.
"When I showed her the picture, she stood there and wept," Klein said. "She was beside herself."
Klein's group has reunited 1,500 families since it began work in 1990. She said the former Soviet Union released records in 1989 of concentration camps it liberated, greatly helping organizers find information on Holocaust victims.
The organization has 100 volunteers -- a third of them Holocaust survivors, Klein said. The group also helps families find information about their loved ones who died during the Holocaust. They have brought together more than 50 families this year. All of their work is free. She says it's often like "looking for a needle in a haystack."
"We're playing beat the clock right now," she said, adding, "It's about families that one day they were together and then they were apart."
"When a connection is made, there are just smiles all around."
That was the case for this family in Ukraine. Years of trauma, of separation, of not knowing what happened to loved ones, have been replaced by celebration.
In a picturesque orchard overlooking rolling fields, Galezkij, his wife and their neighbors laid out a feast for his American sister. As the vodka flowed, he told her how he had survived for a lifetime without her.
"He says he always thought he'd see me someday. He dreamt lots about me," Famulak said, as she sat next to her brother.
"And he wrote a song for me. When he went to sleep, he sang every night and cried."
With that, Galezkij, weakened by illness and age, burst into song. But this time, he sang the words with pure joy.
article by Matthew Chance, CNN
"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like; and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve."
-JRR Tolkien
(The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring)
So I thought I would share this story from CNN.com as I thought that it was quite heartwarming and since there is always so much negativity in the news, a story like this is a welcome change.
From www.cnn.com
DONETSK, Ukraine (CNN) -- A frail Irene Famulak clutched her brother on the airport tarmac, her arm wrapped around him in a tight embrace, tears streaming down their faces. It was the first time since 1942 they had seen each other, when she was 17 and he was just 7.
That was the night the invading Nazis came to take her away from her Ukrainian home.
"I remember it well because I kissed him good-bye, and he pushed me away," she said of her brother. "I asked, 'Why did you do that?' And he said that he doesn't like kisses."
"The Nazis told my mother that I was being taken to work in a German labor camp for six months. But it was, of course, much longer. I was there for years."
Both siblings survived the Holocaust and grew up on different sides of the Iron Curtain, not knowing the fate of the other.
But after 66 years apart, Famulak, 83, was reunited with her long lost 73-year-old brother, Wssewolod Galezkij. They held each other close this time, cherishing the moment.
"I don't believe anyone has ever known such happiness. Now, I truly believe I can die satisfied," Galezkij said.
Famulak made the long journey to Donetsk in eastern Ukraine from Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, after being contacted by the American Red Cross. The organization told her they had located her only surviving sibling.
Famulak said she spent World War II in a labor camp in Munich, Germany, working in the kitchens. She had been taken to the camp with her older sister. When it was liberated in 1945, Famulak stayed in Germany for several years, eventually emigrating to the United States in 1956.
She never saw her parents again after that day in 1942 when Nazis separated her from her family. She and her brother still have no idea what happened to their mother and father. Some of their siblings lived through the war, but later died; others, they never heard from again after being separated.
But her younger brother never gave up hope of tracking his sister down. He, too, was sent to a German labor camp, but after the war, he moved back to Ukraine, then a republic of the Soviet Union.
Under Soviet leader Josef Stalin, information on lost relatives was kept sealed, and Galezkij said it wasn't until reforms in the late 1980s, followed by the Soviet collapse, that he started making progress in finding his sister.
Even then, it took him more than 17 years to locate her in the United States. He broke down in tears as he spoke of his overwhelming happiness at finding her.
"When the Red Cross told me they had found her in America, it was such a joy," he said, sobbing.
In fact, he had to be taken to the hospital because he was so overcome when he first learned she was alive. At this week's reunion, there was a doctor on hand at the airport as a precaution.
Back in the United States, there were tears, too.
Linda Klein, the director of the American Red Cross Holocaust and War Victims Tracing Center, said the volunteer who helped the siblings find each other got caught up in the emotion herself.
"When I showed her the picture, she stood there and wept," Klein said. "She was beside herself."
Klein's group has reunited 1,500 families since it began work in 1990. She said the former Soviet Union released records in 1989 of concentration camps it liberated, greatly helping organizers find information on Holocaust victims.
The organization has 100 volunteers -- a third of them Holocaust survivors, Klein said. The group also helps families find information about their loved ones who died during the Holocaust. They have brought together more than 50 families this year. All of their work is free. She says it's often like "looking for a needle in a haystack."
"We're playing beat the clock right now," she said, adding, "It's about families that one day they were together and then they were apart."
"When a connection is made, there are just smiles all around."
That was the case for this family in Ukraine. Years of trauma, of separation, of not knowing what happened to loved ones, have been replaced by celebration.
In a picturesque orchard overlooking rolling fields, Galezkij, his wife and their neighbors laid out a feast for his American sister. As the vodka flowed, he told her how he had survived for a lifetime without her.
"He says he always thought he'd see me someday. He dreamt lots about me," Famulak said, as she sat next to her brother.
"And he wrote a song for me. When he went to sleep, he sang every night and cried."
With that, Galezkij, weakened by illness and age, burst into song. But this time, he sang the words with pure joy.
article by Matthew Chance, CNN
Thursday, July 10, 2008
The Times They Are A Changin'
I've been pretty busy recently and haven't been able to update as much as I would like on this here website, so I'll take a moment now and give a few updates.
My time as Interim Youth Minister has ended, and I already feel tons less stress. Last night was the first youth group meeting led by the new youth minister and she did a fantastic job. They are in good hands going forward.
July 4th was lots of fun, I went to two birthday parties (3 if you count America's birthday) one on Thursday night and one on Saturday night.
Friday (the 4th) and Sunday were spent on the lake.
So it was an awesome weekend, but I'm getting too old for such sustained partying, I'm just now recovering.
I shot (as in "on video") the fireworks from a boat on the lake and as soon as I get a new (editing only) computer, I will edit them and give them some background music (probably Explosions in the Sky, because that seems appropriate) and throw them up for the world to enjoy as much as I did.
I'll be gone next week at a church camp, so don't expect too many updates any time soon, but I promise to try and do better.
Namaste!
My time as Interim Youth Minister has ended, and I already feel tons less stress. Last night was the first youth group meeting led by the new youth minister and she did a fantastic job. They are in good hands going forward.
July 4th was lots of fun, I went to two birthday parties (3 if you count America's birthday) one on Thursday night and one on Saturday night.
Friday (the 4th) and Sunday were spent on the lake.
So it was an awesome weekend, but I'm getting too old for such sustained partying, I'm just now recovering.
I shot (as in "on video") the fireworks from a boat on the lake and as soon as I get a new (editing only) computer, I will edit them and give them some background music (probably Explosions in the Sky, because that seems appropriate) and throw them up for the world to enjoy as much as I did.
I'll be gone next week at a church camp, so don't expect too many updates any time soon, but I promise to try and do better.
Namaste!
Wednesday, July 2, 2008
So, this is cool, Quote of the Day, and other stuff
Now I can blog from my iGoogle home page!
Theoretically that should make it more likely that I update more frequently.
However, I think we all know that that won't be the case, but I'm certainly going to try!
Anyway, here's today's Quote of the Day (also available on my iGoogle homepage!)
"Art is a collaboration between God and the artist, and the less the artist does the better."
-Andre Gide
I like that, as I often feel that my best writing came from somewhere greater then myself.
Anyway, I bought John Adams, the HBO miniseries, on DVD a couple of weeks ago and started watching it this last weekend.
The second episode should be required viewing for July 4th, it was quite powerful stuff.
I consider myself a bit of a history buff (for a short period of time I was actually a history major, weird, I know) but I had no idea how instrumental John Adams was in the forming of this country.
If you didn't get a chance to see it on HBO, Netflix it or drop the 40 bucks to own it. It is definately worth it.
Have a Happy 4th if I don't get to talk to you again before then and please try and refrain from blowing yourself up with fireworks. That would suck.
Theoretically that should make it more likely that I update more frequently.
However, I think we all know that that won't be the case, but I'm certainly going to try!
Anyway, here's today's Quote of the Day (also available on my iGoogle homepage!)
"Art is a collaboration between God and the artist, and the less the artist does the better."
-Andre Gide
I like that, as I often feel that my best writing came from somewhere greater then myself.
Anyway, I bought John Adams, the HBO miniseries, on DVD a couple of weeks ago and started watching it this last weekend.
The second episode should be required viewing for July 4th, it was quite powerful stuff.
I consider myself a bit of a history buff (for a short period of time I was actually a history major, weird, I know) but I had no idea how instrumental John Adams was in the forming of this country.
If you didn't get a chance to see it on HBO, Netflix it or drop the 40 bucks to own it. It is definately worth it.
Have a Happy 4th if I don't get to talk to you again before then and please try and refrain from blowing yourself up with fireworks. That would suck.
Labels:
4th of July,
HBO,
iGoogle,
John Adams,
quote of the day
Monday, June 23, 2008
Back From Church Camp
Two amazing things have happened recently, but as I was out of town as a counselor at a high school age church camp, I haven't had the time to relay them.
I will remedy that now.
First, last Friday I got carded at an R Rated movie.
I know. Awesome.
I had never in my life been carded at a movie before. In fact, I forgot that they could card you at movies.
Despite having turned 30 on my last birthday, the ticket seller assumed I must be 16 and therefore unable to see an R Rated movie.
(However, no one at the church camp mistook me for a youth. At least not to my knowledge.)
The second amazing thing that happened was a bit of divine insperation...
Paintball On Ice.
How awesome would that be? It came to me at breakfast, the sport fully formed in my head. I really want to play it.
Anyway, I'm way behind on things in the news and the political world especially as I've been out of touch for a full week (although I did hear that Tiger won the US Open on a broken leg and a torn ACL, unbelievable) so anything more in depth will have to wait till later.
After all, my Google Reader has over 300 unread items.
I will remedy that now.
First, last Friday I got carded at an R Rated movie.
I know. Awesome.
I had never in my life been carded at a movie before. In fact, I forgot that they could card you at movies.
Despite having turned 30 on my last birthday, the ticket seller assumed I must be 16 and therefore unable to see an R Rated movie.
(However, no one at the church camp mistook me for a youth. At least not to my knowledge.)
The second amazing thing that happened was a bit of divine insperation...
Paintball On Ice.
How awesome would that be? It came to me at breakfast, the sport fully formed in my head. I really want to play it.
Anyway, I'm way behind on things in the news and the political world especially as I've been out of touch for a full week (although I did hear that Tiger won the US Open on a broken leg and a torn ACL, unbelievable) so anything more in depth will have to wait till later.
After all, my Google Reader has over 300 unread items.
Monday, June 9, 2008
My Sermon
Yesterday, I preached a sermon.
I'm not a preacher, I'm not even exactly a minister.
But, I have been working at a church as the Interim Youth Minister for the last few months, and my post is about to end.
Yesterday, the minister was out of town at an area church camp, and he asked me to fill in for him. I said yes.
I have to admit, I thought it would be much easier then it was. I have a new found respect for those that write a sermon every week.
No doubt some subjects are easier to preach on then others, but still it is a hard task and I don't envy those that must fulfill it weekly.
Thanks to some good talks with a couple people during the week and a flash of inspiration early Saturday morning, I had my sermon written by lunch time on Saturday. That's pretty good for me.
If you're interested, you can read it below...
I'm not a preacher, I'm not even exactly a minister.
But, I have been working at a church as the Interim Youth Minister for the last few months, and my post is about to end.
Yesterday, the minister was out of town at an area church camp, and he asked me to fill in for him. I said yes.
I have to admit, I thought it would be much easier then it was. I have a new found respect for those that write a sermon every week.
No doubt some subjects are easier to preach on then others, but still it is a hard task and I don't envy those that must fulfill it weekly.
Thanks to some good talks with a couple people during the week and a flash of inspiration early Saturday morning, I had my sermon written by lunch time on Saturday. That's pretty good for me.
If you're interested, you can read it below...
Scripture Readings:
Genesis 12:1-9
Matthew 9:18-26
Romans 4:13-25
Last Sunday, I was teaching CYF Sunday School and we talked about Faith and Doubt. I’d love to tell you that I chose that subject in order to prepare for this sermon, but I have to be honest, I had not even looked at the scripture for this week as of yet. I’m a bit of a procrastinator. My mother’s here this morning, she’ll tell you. There were far too many evenings growing up when I would go to Mom and ask if we could go to the library. She’d patiently tell me that the Library was already closed for the day and ask why I needed to go, hoping that I just needed some new reading material.
I would answer something about a report due on some strange and foreign country the next day. She would then get exasperated and after a lecture about responsibility and such we would head to a bookstore. Not surprisingly we invested in a set of Encyclopedias fairly early in my childhood.
So, knowing that about me, it should come as no surprise that last week’s Sunday School lesson was not meant to be in any way a preparation for this sermon, but I lucked out. It turns out talking about Faith and Doubt was in fact perfect for this sermon.
I asked the high school students to define the words Faith and Doubt, and I got some pretty good answers. But we also joked about some of the definitions that you often find in a dictionary.
We figured that if you looked up faith you would see…
FAITH: the absence of doubt.
Well, that’s not very helpful. Let’s look up doubt.
DOUBT: the absence of faith.
And now we’re even more confused.
It is clear that the two are connected. Despite our belief that if we looked them up in a dictionary we might find something very similar to the definitions that we joked about, I don’t really think that those definitions are true.
In fact, I think that it’s not only possible but probable that you can have faith despite some doubt, and I know for a fact that you’re going to have some doubt with your faith. After all, it’s only human to doubt. We aren’t perfect, and we can’t understand God’s perfection, therefore it is only natural that, as humans, we cannot have perfect faith. We can certainly try for perfection, we can strive for it, but we aren’t perfect and we will fail. We can say we believe fully and completely, we can want to believe fully and completely, we can act as if our faith is perfect, but we aren’t perfect and we will fail.
And that’s okay.
One of my Movie Labs that I’ve led at various churches (including this one) and at various camps over the years explores the idea of faith as addressed in film. For those of you who don’t know, my degree is in Radio-TV-Film and I minored in Religion and one of my passions is exploring the relationship between religion and film and especially in how religious themes are portrayed on screen. In my lab cleverly titled “Faith in Film” I explore the difficulty of faith as experienced by Mel Gibson’s character in the movie Signs and Jodie Foster’s character in the movie Contact.
In the film Signs, Mel Gibson’s character is a preacher who has lost faith in God following the death of his wife. Ultimately, it is through things she tells him in their last conversation that he is able to save his family and that his faith is ultimately restored. Had it been solely up to him, however, his faith would never have been restored.
In Contact, Jodie Foster’s character is a scientist and an atheist. She claims that since there is no scientific proof in God there is no reason to believe in God. However, in the third act of the movie she has what can only be termed a religious experience and despite all proof to the contrary, she believes that that experience occurred. Her faith in science was strong, but when science seemed to argue against that which she knew to be true, she no longer had easy answers. She just believed. Without that experience she never would have had faith in something bigger then herself, but because of it, even though she still has her doubts, she believes.
It would be out of character for me to not bring up Star Wars. You see, the first film came out in May of 1977. I was born in December of 1977. You know what they say about things you experience in the womb shaping you? Well, it isn’t my fault that I am a huge fan of the Star Wars Universe, my parents shouldn’t have gone to see it before I was born. It probably would have saved them a lot of money in Star Wars action figures over the next decade.
Anyway, in that first movie, Luke is flying through the canyon in the Death Star and he turns on his targeting computer for one last try to destroy the Death Star before it can blow up the planet housing the Rebel base. The Rebels had to shoot into a tiny hole at the end of the canyon, and the last two attempts had failed. The attack plan seemed impossible. Suddenly he hears a voice, the voice of his dead mentor, that tells him to turn off his targeting computer and to trust in the Force. Despite his doubts he allows the Force to flow through him and Luke saves the day.
In each of these cases, the characters are forced by outside elements to overcome their doubts. In each film, the character would not have been able to succeed without the outside influence, the words of the dying wife in Signs, the religious experience in Contact, or the words of comfort and advice from Obi Wan Kenobi to Luke Skywalker in Star Wars. In the same way, our faith in and of itself is not enough either. Either because of doubts or our own imperfections, we can only achieve anything through faith combined with the help of God.
In the scripture that I opened with, Paul talks about Abraham’s faith. He argues that it is the strength of that faith that guaranteed what God had promised him, and that faith is what guarantees his descendants (aka us) the same thing.
Paul says that Abraham believed even though his body “was as good as dead” and despite the “barrenness of Sarah’s womb” that faith is what delivered God’s promise to Abraham.
Sounds good. “Have faith, God will work miracles for you.” Except that isn’t exactly the way that it happened. We know that while Abraham and Sarah had faith, they also had some doubts. We’ve heard the stories. They wanted to believe, but they also knew that Sarah was barren. She wasn’t going to be having children that would father many nations. I mean, sure God’s powerful and everything, but some things are simply impossible.
If Abraham was going to be the father of many nations, God must have meant someone else would be the mother. So Abraham took matters into his own hands. He tried to bring about God’s promise in his own way because of his doubts.
Did God look at that lack of faith and say, “Never mind, I’m going to choose someone else”? No, instead God gave Abraham and Sarah a miracle despite the doubt. God took the faith that they did have, an imperfect faith filled with doubt, and perfected it.
Doubt isn’t a bad thing. Perhaps my faith while growing up that I would get my assignments done and turned in on time no matter when I started them could have used a little more doubt. I’m sure that some doubt would have fostered preparedness, which would have at the very least made my parents breathe a little easier.
God doesn’t expect us to be perfect, because God knows that we aren’t and cannot be perfect. It is that which makes our relationship with God so important. We do what we can, hopefully the best that we can, and God comes in and perfects it.
God sent us a perfect example to illustrate this. Jesus was fully human and fully divine. Jesus’ humanity caused him to die on the cross. Jesus’ divinity allowed him to rise from the dead. Without the imperfection of humanity, Jesus could not have died, and without the perfection of divinity Jesus could not have risen.
In Matthew, we heard the story of the unclean woman who comes up behind Jesus and touches the hem of his garment believing it will heal her. Jesus tells her that it is her faith that has healed her. Her faith is rewarded even if we might question the way that she went about getting healed by Jesus. It seems to me that had her faith been perfect she would have stopped Jesus in the road and asked him to heal her, but perhaps she doubted that he would do so.
After all society viewed her as unclean, and it was believed that anyone she touched or anyone that touched her would also become unclean. She might have felt that Jesus would not be willing to make himself unclean in order to heal her and so she took it upon herself to touch him. Despite her doubts in Jesus, her doubts in his willingness to help her, her faith was rewarded and she was healed.
God expects us to be imperfect, because that is who we are. God is perfect and only through God, and our faith in God, can we ultimately be perfected.
In Sunday School last week we ultimately decided (after taking a few detours to discuss upcoming finals and whether or not Chimichanga is a real word, after all we aren’t perfect), we ultimately decided that although we should always strive to have a strong faith, we knew that we would have some doubts. But luckily Jesus told us that even faith the size of a mustard seed was enough to move mountains, and that is a good thing, because often it is our doubts that seem to be the size of mountains and our faith can seem very small and insignificant beside them, but with God’s help, that small and seemingly insignificant faith can overcome even a mountain of doubt.
Tuesday, June 3, 2008
Is Tonight The Night?
Senator Barack Obama is 42 delegates shy of the number required to clinch the Democratic nomination. (The number changed when the rules committee decided to award Florida and Michigan the ability to seat their full number of delegates, but counting each delegate as half) 31 delegates are up for grabs tonight in the final two contests of the Democratic primary process, which admittedly isn't enough to sow it up for Obama this evening, but reports indicate that after the two processes end a number of the Super Delegates (about 200 of which remain uncommitted) will flock to his side giving him the requisite 2118 delegates ending the long and hard fought nomination process.
The Associated Press announced that Clinton was ready to concede the race either this evening after the two final primaries or tomorrow morning, but only minutes later, Senator Clinton's Campaign Chair refuted that story. (Read CNN's article here)
My feelings are that chances are good that Obama will have the requisite number of Delegates to claim victory this evening and shortly after Clinton will concede, but due to the fact that there are two contests remaining today, Clinton doesn't want the news that she is preparing to concede to get to the public.
Either way, Nancy Pelosi seems determined that the race will be over by the end of this month saying, "I will step in, because we cannot take this fight to the convention." She was saying that she will make sure that the remaining Super Delegates make their decision to back Obama or Clinton and bring this long race to an end so that the party can get itself together in order to take on McCain in November.
It should be an interesting night as six months of Obama/Clinton might finally come to an end just in time for six months of Obama/Clinton together against McCain. (I officially now believe that such a pairing is not only possible, but probable. I'll have more on that in it's own post.)
The Associated Press announced that Clinton was ready to concede the race either this evening after the two final primaries or tomorrow morning, but only minutes later, Senator Clinton's Campaign Chair refuted that story. (Read CNN's article here)
My feelings are that chances are good that Obama will have the requisite number of Delegates to claim victory this evening and shortly after Clinton will concede, but due to the fact that there are two contests remaining today, Clinton doesn't want the news that she is preparing to concede to get to the public.
Either way, Nancy Pelosi seems determined that the race will be over by the end of this month saying, "I will step in, because we cannot take this fight to the convention." She was saying that she will make sure that the remaining Super Delegates make their decision to back Obama or Clinton and bring this long race to an end so that the party can get itself together in order to take on McCain in November.
It should be an interesting night as six months of Obama/Clinton might finally come to an end just in time for six months of Obama/Clinton together against McCain. (I officially now believe that such a pairing is not only possible, but probable. I'll have more on that in it's own post.)
Friday, May 30, 2008
A Plea
Everyone, go see The Strangers this weekend!
I found out today that one of my best friends growing up (from Elementary, Middle, and High School) wrote and directed it.
Help make it a hit.
Here's an article from the Fort Worth Star Telegram about how he got a chance to direct a major Hollywood picture with no real experience.
I'm so excited for him and can't wait to see it tonight!
I found out today that one of my best friends growing up (from Elementary, Middle, and High School) wrote and directed it.
Help make it a hit.
Here's an article from the Fort Worth Star Telegram about how he got a chance to direct a major Hollywood picture with no real experience.
I'm so excited for him and can't wait to see it tonight!
Monday, May 19, 2008
Quote of the Day
From the Chuck Lorre productions note at the end of tonight's episode of The Big Bang Theory...
"I believe that the voices of fear, both from without and within, can only be dispelled by trusting the voice that comes from the heart. Be still and listen to it. If it speaks of love and compassion for others, for the world itself, it just might be the voice of God -- or a reasonable facsimile. If, however, it snarls with fear of the unknown, fear of losing what you have or of not getting what you want, then it just might be the voice of Rupert Murdoch -- or a reasonable facsimile."
-Chuck Lorre
Labels:
Chuck Lorre,
quote of the day,
The Big Bang Theory
Tuesday, May 13, 2008
A Chicago Sports Fans Thoughts on the Cedric Benson Situation
Ced Benson was arrested a couple of weeks ago in Austin, Texas for "boating while intoxicated".
Despite the fact that Benson (a former star for UT, and a top 5 draft pick by my Chicago Bears) is a Bear, I definitely don't consider myself a fan of his. I felt like the pick was the wrong move when the Bears made it a few years ago, and thus far Benson has done nothing to prove me wrong, averaging well under 4 yards per carry for his entire career.
Therefore, when I heard the news about his arrest, I immediately assumed the worst.
The first reports didn't look good for Benson. Police said that they pulled his boat over and that he was drunk and combative. He failed a sobriety test and refused to wear a life jacket. They asked him to come to shore for another sobriety test and he refused. He was argumentative and threatening, causing them to spray him with pepper spray and he was lead off in cuffs.
I admit that when I heard this version, I didn't doubt it, and instead figured that we were nearing the end of the Cedric Benson era in Chicago.
Bears coach Lovie Smith came out and stated his disappointment in Benson's behavior.
Then we heard from Cedric Benson for the first time. His take on events was vastly different from the story the police told.
He said that he was pulled over by the police (for the sixth consecutive time that he had taken his boat out on Lake Travis). He complied with their requests for a sobriety test, claiming that he was not at all drunk. He accompanied them to the shore where he asked what else he could do for them, at which point he was sprayed in the face completely unprovoked. The police then forced him to the ground and poured water in his face to wash out the pepper spray, but did it in a matter that caused Benson to choke as he was unable to breathe with the water splashing him full in the face.
He called for his mother (who was on the boat), but police kept him separated from the rest of his party. They told him they were arresting him, but instead of letting him walk himself to the police car, they took his legs out from under him with a baton and drug him to the car handcuffed.
Shortly after Benson's report was released, one of the witnesses from Benson's boat came forward with a very similar story. She told about how she called her parents to get them to call 911 to report Benson's mistreatment since she didn't think her phone had enough battery life to explain the situation to 911.
Then, another witness, this time not from Benson's boat, came forward corroborating Benson's account, claiming that any need to pepper spray was "ludicrous".
The fact that Benson's highly recognizable boat has been pulled over 6 out of the 6 times that he has taken it out on Lake Travis makes me realize that Cedric Benson has been unfairly targeted by the lake police.
After Benson's side of the story was heard (and corroborated by witnesses) the Bears general manager said that Cedric Benson would not be released because of this incident, but that he should have been more careful not to let himself be put in this position.
Normally, I like Jerry Angelo, but that is a horrible thing to say.
He has every right to enjoy a spring day on his boat on a public lake in a familiar setting (remember, he went to College here) without being harassed by police officials who clearly have it out for him.
There should be no negative comments made towards Benson in this situation at all. He is a victim and he shouldn't be chastised for it.
Sure, he hasn't lived up to what the Bears believed he would on the football field, but that is no reason not to be outraged by the ill treatment that he has received off of it.
Despite the fact that Benson (a former star for UT, and a top 5 draft pick by my Chicago Bears) is a Bear, I definitely don't consider myself a fan of his. I felt like the pick was the wrong move when the Bears made it a few years ago, and thus far Benson has done nothing to prove me wrong, averaging well under 4 yards per carry for his entire career.
Therefore, when I heard the news about his arrest, I immediately assumed the worst.
The first reports didn't look good for Benson. Police said that they pulled his boat over and that he was drunk and combative. He failed a sobriety test and refused to wear a life jacket. They asked him to come to shore for another sobriety test and he refused. He was argumentative and threatening, causing them to spray him with pepper spray and he was lead off in cuffs.
I admit that when I heard this version, I didn't doubt it, and instead figured that we were nearing the end of the Cedric Benson era in Chicago.
Bears coach Lovie Smith came out and stated his disappointment in Benson's behavior.
Then we heard from Cedric Benson for the first time. His take on events was vastly different from the story the police told.
He said that he was pulled over by the police (for the sixth consecutive time that he had taken his boat out on Lake Travis). He complied with their requests for a sobriety test, claiming that he was not at all drunk. He accompanied them to the shore where he asked what else he could do for them, at which point he was sprayed in the face completely unprovoked. The police then forced him to the ground and poured water in his face to wash out the pepper spray, but did it in a matter that caused Benson to choke as he was unable to breathe with the water splashing him full in the face.
He called for his mother (who was on the boat), but police kept him separated from the rest of his party. They told him they were arresting him, but instead of letting him walk himself to the police car, they took his legs out from under him with a baton and drug him to the car handcuffed.
Shortly after Benson's report was released, one of the witnesses from Benson's boat came forward with a very similar story. She told about how she called her parents to get them to call 911 to report Benson's mistreatment since she didn't think her phone had enough battery life to explain the situation to 911.
Then, another witness, this time not from Benson's boat, came forward corroborating Benson's account, claiming that any need to pepper spray was "ludicrous".
The fact that Benson's highly recognizable boat has been pulled over 6 out of the 6 times that he has taken it out on Lake Travis makes me realize that Cedric Benson has been unfairly targeted by the lake police.
After Benson's side of the story was heard (and corroborated by witnesses) the Bears general manager said that Cedric Benson would not be released because of this incident, but that he should have been more careful not to let himself be put in this position.
Normally, I like Jerry Angelo, but that is a horrible thing to say.
He has every right to enjoy a spring day on his boat on a public lake in a familiar setting (remember, he went to College here) without being harassed by police officials who clearly have it out for him.
There should be no negative comments made towards Benson in this situation at all. He is a victim and he shouldn't be chastised for it.
Sure, he hasn't lived up to what the Bears believed he would on the football field, but that is no reason not to be outraged by the ill treatment that he has received off of it.
Thursday, May 8, 2008
I Don't Want to Believe It, But It's Certainly Possible
Is "Operation Chaos" working?
For those of you who don't know (and Lord, how I wish I was one of you, but my boss loves that fat, druggie of a radio host, meaning occasionally I have to hear him) "Operation Chaos" is the name of Rush Limbaugh's project to keep the Democratic nomination process going as long as possible. He wants his listeners to cross party lines and vote for Hillary Clinton in order to keep Barack Obama from winning the nomination and the Democratic party from regrouping and focusing on John McCain.
I have no doubt that some of his listeners have responded, but I didn't think that it would have an actual effect on any of the races.
Some say that it did in Texas, where Rush has a lot of listeners, it's an open primary, and Hillary won a very close race.
I didn't start to believe it could effect a race until Indiana.
Again, it's an open primary and Hillary won a close race, a race decided by fewer then 20,000 votes. Numbers that I can believe listen to Rush and follow his Operation Chaos theory.
Add that to the fact that in exit polls up to 70% of Obama supporters say that they will vote for Clinton, but less then half of Clinton supporters say that they will vote for Obama. I wish the pollsters had asked a follow up question of those supporters. I wish they had asked if they would have vote for Clinton against McCain. I wouldn't be surprised to see that only 60% or so would say yes, the rest saying that they would vote for McCain.
It just doesn't make sense to me that a supporter of Clinton would not ultimately support the Democratic party. It actually makes more sense to me that Obama supporters would turn their back on the Clintons, because he's getting a lot of support from people who haven't voted before and aren't classical Democrats, but are people that believe in him as a change from the typical Politician. Yet 70% of his voters say they'd vote for Clinton while over half of those who voted for Clinton say they wouldn't vote for Obama.
That leads me to surmise that they probably wouldn't vote for her in the general election either.
For those of you who don't know (and Lord, how I wish I was one of you, but my boss loves that fat, druggie of a radio host, meaning occasionally I have to hear him) "Operation Chaos" is the name of Rush Limbaugh's project to keep the Democratic nomination process going as long as possible. He wants his listeners to cross party lines and vote for Hillary Clinton in order to keep Barack Obama from winning the nomination and the Democratic party from regrouping and focusing on John McCain.
I have no doubt that some of his listeners have responded, but I didn't think that it would have an actual effect on any of the races.
Some say that it did in Texas, where Rush has a lot of listeners, it's an open primary, and Hillary won a very close race.
I didn't start to believe it could effect a race until Indiana.
Again, it's an open primary and Hillary won a close race, a race decided by fewer then 20,000 votes. Numbers that I can believe listen to Rush and follow his Operation Chaos theory.
Add that to the fact that in exit polls up to 70% of Obama supporters say that they will vote for Clinton, but less then half of Clinton supporters say that they will vote for Obama. I wish the pollsters had asked a follow up question of those supporters. I wish they had asked if they would have vote for Clinton against McCain. I wouldn't be surprised to see that only 60% or so would say yes, the rest saying that they would vote for McCain.
It just doesn't make sense to me that a supporter of Clinton would not ultimately support the Democratic party. It actually makes more sense to me that Obama supporters would turn their back on the Clintons, because he's getting a lot of support from people who haven't voted before and aren't classical Democrats, but are people that believe in him as a change from the typical Politician. Yet 70% of his voters say they'd vote for Clinton while over half of those who voted for Clinton say they wouldn't vote for Obama.
That leads me to surmise that they probably wouldn't vote for her in the general election either.
Wednesday, May 7, 2008
Well, that was exciting to say the least
Today's Quote of the Day
Do with that what you will.
So, onto the post, last night I didn't get to bed nearly as early as I was planning to, because I couldn't turn off CNN.
The longer I watched, the closer and closer the numbers were getting in Indiana. At one point the vote spread went from just under 40,000 to just under 20,000 in one quick swoop.
Why the sudden change? Why the drama? Lake County, Indiana.
To fully understand the drama, lets go back about 2 hours in time as Barack Obama then Hillary Clinton gave their election night speeches.
At the time, Senator Clinton had a large lead in Indiana, and while none of the networks were willing to call it in her favor, I don't think anyone seriously doubted she would win it, possibly by 10%. In Senator Obama's speach he congratulated her on what he called her "apparent victory in Indiana".
In Clinton's speech, she also claimed victory in Indiana. Meanwhile, we begin to hear from the Mayor of Gary, Indiana. He claims that when the numbers from his city come in, they will be overwhelmingly in favor of Obama, and that if an upset is to happen, it will be do to his county, Lake County.
Later, while looking at the map, it turns out that while 85% of the vote is in and Clinton is up 52% to 48% and by just under 40,000 votes, none of that vote is from Lake County.
Not only is it expected that Obama is going to do extremely well in Gary, but he is expected to do well throughout the county.
Why?
It is the most northwestern county putting it as practically a suburb of Chicago, the home of Barack Obama.
Suddenly, as they were talking about the county on CNN, the first results from there came in. 28% of the vote reported and Obama had a 75% to 35% lead there and a 20,000 vote advantage.
Now, Indiana was a virtual tie. Clinton's lead was down to under 20,000 votes with 72% of the vote still to come in Lake County and 9% of the vote still to come throughout the state, with the outstanding votes almost all coming from areas that Barack Obama was winning.
It turned out that that first 28% reported was all from Gary, Indiana, the area where Obama had the largest support in the county. Clinton had a very slight advantage throughout the rest of the county, slowly taking down that huge advantage, meaning that, as it stands right now with 99% of the vote reporting, she is up in the state by only 18,444 votes.
Whereas in North Carolina, with 99% of the precincts reporting, Obama won the popular vote by 232,775 votes.
In the delegate count, his pledged lead grew thanks to a huge victory in North Carolina and a virtual tie in Indiana, and his lead in the popular vote went up by 214,331 votes.
While Clinton vows to fight on despite barely having an argument on which to stand any longer, the belief is starting to grow that it will be impossible for the Democratic nominee to be anyone other then Barack Obama.
Despite what Clinton might be saying this morning about "tie-breakers", the truth is that yesterday was a very good day for Barack Obama.
There is no greater impotence in all the world like knowing you are right and that the wave of the world is wrong, yet the wave crashes upon you.
Norman Mailer
Do with that what you will.
So, onto the post, last night I didn't get to bed nearly as early as I was planning to, because I couldn't turn off CNN.
The longer I watched, the closer and closer the numbers were getting in Indiana. At one point the vote spread went from just under 40,000 to just under 20,000 in one quick swoop.
Why the sudden change? Why the drama? Lake County, Indiana.
To fully understand the drama, lets go back about 2 hours in time as Barack Obama then Hillary Clinton gave their election night speeches.
At the time, Senator Clinton had a large lead in Indiana, and while none of the networks were willing to call it in her favor, I don't think anyone seriously doubted she would win it, possibly by 10%. In Senator Obama's speach he congratulated her on what he called her "apparent victory in Indiana".
In Clinton's speech, she also claimed victory in Indiana. Meanwhile, we begin to hear from the Mayor of Gary, Indiana. He claims that when the numbers from his city come in, they will be overwhelmingly in favor of Obama, and that if an upset is to happen, it will be do to his county, Lake County.
Later, while looking at the map, it turns out that while 85% of the vote is in and Clinton is up 52% to 48% and by just under 40,000 votes, none of that vote is from Lake County.
Not only is it expected that Obama is going to do extremely well in Gary, but he is expected to do well throughout the county.
Why?
It is the most northwestern county putting it as practically a suburb of Chicago, the home of Barack Obama.
Suddenly, as they were talking about the county on CNN, the first results from there came in. 28% of the vote reported and Obama had a 75% to 35% lead there and a 20,000 vote advantage.
Now, Indiana was a virtual tie. Clinton's lead was down to under 20,000 votes with 72% of the vote still to come in Lake County and 9% of the vote still to come throughout the state, with the outstanding votes almost all coming from areas that Barack Obama was winning.
It turned out that that first 28% reported was all from Gary, Indiana, the area where Obama had the largest support in the county. Clinton had a very slight advantage throughout the rest of the county, slowly taking down that huge advantage, meaning that, as it stands right now with 99% of the vote reporting, she is up in the state by only 18,444 votes.
Whereas in North Carolina, with 99% of the precincts reporting, Obama won the popular vote by 232,775 votes.
In the delegate count, his pledged lead grew thanks to a huge victory in North Carolina and a virtual tie in Indiana, and his lead in the popular vote went up by 214,331 votes.
While Clinton vows to fight on despite barely having an argument on which to stand any longer, the belief is starting to grow that it will be impossible for the Democratic nominee to be anyone other then Barack Obama.
Despite what Clinton might be saying this morning about "tie-breakers", the truth is that yesterday was a very good day for Barack Obama.
Labels:
Barack Obama,
Democratic Primaries,
Hillary Clinton
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
The Eyes of the World are on Indiana and North Carolina
Who would have seen that coming at the beginning of this process?
The way things stand right now, Obama will win North Carolina (hopefully it will be by a big margin) and Clinton will win Indiana (but it's probably going to be very close).
For Clinton to realistically be able to claim victory, she would have to catch Obama in pledged delegates. To do that, Clinton would have to win the remaining states by 70%, which is extremely unlikely. There is no way that Clinton can match Obama in number of states won, although it is possible that she catches him in popular vote.
Despite the fact that it is nearly impossible to pass Obama at this stage for front runner status and that she is consistently polling as less likely to beat McCain, there is no indication that Clinton plans on stopping short of the convention.
Even if Obama sweeps tonight (which is far more possible then Clinton sweeping) I doubt that Clinton will concede.
For a time, I felt like this protracted race was good for the Democratic party, raising interest in the process, but now the future of the Country is at stake and Clinton is doing more harm then good in my opinion.
This race has been pretty much decided for some time, but she refuses to give up, and while admire that to some extent, this is far too important a time for the Country to be damaging any Democratic chance at the White House just because you don't want to lose.
My only hope is that when the Super Delegates decide the contest in Obama's favor (which is certainly the trend, as for the last couple of months, Obama has gained hundreds of Super Delegates while Clinton has lost some), Clinton will step aside without any more fighting. Then perhaps this prolonged fight will at least have one positive outcome by virtue of helping to prepare Obama for the race with McCain.
The way things stand right now, Obama will win North Carolina (hopefully it will be by a big margin) and Clinton will win Indiana (but it's probably going to be very close).
For Clinton to realistically be able to claim victory, she would have to catch Obama in pledged delegates. To do that, Clinton would have to win the remaining states by 70%, which is extremely unlikely. There is no way that Clinton can match Obama in number of states won, although it is possible that she catches him in popular vote.
Despite the fact that it is nearly impossible to pass Obama at this stage for front runner status and that she is consistently polling as less likely to beat McCain, there is no indication that Clinton plans on stopping short of the convention.
Even if Obama sweeps tonight (which is far more possible then Clinton sweeping) I doubt that Clinton will concede.
For a time, I felt like this protracted race was good for the Democratic party, raising interest in the process, but now the future of the Country is at stake and Clinton is doing more harm then good in my opinion.
This race has been pretty much decided for some time, but she refuses to give up, and while admire that to some extent, this is far too important a time for the Country to be damaging any Democratic chance at the White House just because you don't want to lose.
My only hope is that when the Super Delegates decide the contest in Obama's favor (which is certainly the trend, as for the last couple of months, Obama has gained hundreds of Super Delegates while Clinton has lost some), Clinton will step aside without any more fighting. Then perhaps this prolonged fight will at least have one positive outcome by virtue of helping to prepare Obama for the race with McCain.
Monday, May 5, 2008
Tragedy at the Kentucky Derby
I love sports and I love animals, one would think that I would love the Kentucky Derby.
I'll watch it, but I don't make it a point, and Saturday is a prime reason why.
For those who might not have heard, the second place finisher, Eight Belles (the only filly in the race), pulled up at the end of the race having broken (shattered is probably closer to the truth) both of her front ankles.
She was euthanized on the track.
I'm glad that I didn't see it, just reading the story afterwards saddened me greatly.
I was watching the Preakness two years ago and I remember it clearly.
Cubs/Astros was about to start, and I was at Home Plate Sports Bar just across the street from the home plate entrance to the Juice Box (more commonly refered to as Minute Maid Park or the Park Formally Known As Enron) waiting to meet up with my friends for the game.
I settled into a spot up at the bar (trust me, you aren't getting a seat an hour before game time at Home Plate) and watched in glorious high definition as Barbaro continued his quest for the Triple Crown. I shuttered along with the entire bar as he went down after the start having broken his right rear leg. I thought for sure that he would be killed on the spot and hoped that they wouldn't show it.
I followed the story for the next couple of months hoping he could recover and was saddened when he could not.
I haven't watched a horse race since, and after Saturday's tragedy I'm not sure that I ever will again.
Is a sport worth the life of a majestic animal that doesn't even get a choice in whether or not it wants to race?
I'll watch it, but I don't make it a point, and Saturday is a prime reason why.
For those who might not have heard, the second place finisher, Eight Belles (the only filly in the race), pulled up at the end of the race having broken (shattered is probably closer to the truth) both of her front ankles.
She was euthanized on the track.
I'm glad that I didn't see it, just reading the story afterwards saddened me greatly.
I was watching the Preakness two years ago and I remember it clearly.
Cubs/Astros was about to start, and I was at Home Plate Sports Bar just across the street from the home plate entrance to the Juice Box (more commonly refered to as Minute Maid Park or the Park Formally Known As Enron) waiting to meet up with my friends for the game.
I settled into a spot up at the bar (trust me, you aren't getting a seat an hour before game time at Home Plate) and watched in glorious high definition as Barbaro continued his quest for the Triple Crown. I shuttered along with the entire bar as he went down after the start having broken his right rear leg. I thought for sure that he would be killed on the spot and hoped that they wouldn't show it.
I followed the story for the next couple of months hoping he could recover and was saddened when he could not.
I haven't watched a horse race since, and after Saturday's tragedy I'm not sure that I ever will again.
Is a sport worth the life of a majestic animal that doesn't even get a choice in whether or not it wants to race?
Labels:
Barbaro,
Eight Belles,
Kentucky Derby,
Preakness,
Triple Crown
Friday, May 2, 2008
Sorry For The Lack Of Posts
I've been sick all week, culminating in a rare (for me) visit to a physician.
It had been so long since I'd been to the doctor they said I was classified as a new patient again. This meant that not only was I sick and at one of my least favorite places in the world (the Doctor's office) but also that I had to do some "new patient" paperwork, this despite the fact that not too much has happened to me medically since my last visit. (Although to be fair it has been 6 years, so I guess they felt like something could have changed. It hadn't.)
Anyway, I'm still not feeling well, but now I have Doctor prescribed medications to help speed that recovery up (hopefully. Still waiting. Come on medication, work dammit).
To prove that I am still alive, despite not quite feeling like it, I felt like I should write some sort of post today.
If you missed it, Barack Obama was on Letterman last night giving the TOP TEN.
It was pretty funny. Here they are for your reading enjoyment.
It had been so long since I'd been to the doctor they said I was classified as a new patient again. This meant that not only was I sick and at one of my least favorite places in the world (the Doctor's office) but also that I had to do some "new patient" paperwork, this despite the fact that not too much has happened to me medically since my last visit. (Although to be fair it has been 6 years, so I guess they felt like something could have changed. It hadn't.)
Anyway, I'm still not feeling well, but now I have Doctor prescribed medications to help speed that recovery up (hopefully. Still waiting. Come on medication, work dammit).
To prove that I am still alive, despite not quite feeling like it, I felt like I should write some sort of post today.
If you missed it, Barack Obama was on Letterman last night giving the TOP TEN.
It was pretty funny. Here they are for your reading enjoyment.
10. My first act as President will be to stop the fighting between Lauren and Heidi on “The Hills.”
9. In the Illinois primary, I accidentally voted for Kucinich.
8. When I tell my kids to clean their room, I finish with, “I’m Barack Obama and I approved this message.”
7. Throughout high school, I was consistently voted “Barackiest.”
6. Earlier today I bowled a 39.
5. I have cancelled all my appearances the day the “Sex and the City” movie opens.
4. It’s the birthplace of Fred Astaire. (Sorry, that’s a surprising fact about Omaha)
3. We are tirelessly working to get the endorsement of Kentucky Derby favorite Colonel John.
2. This has nothing to do with the Top Ten, but what the heck is up with Paula Abdul?
1. I have not slept since October.
Labels:
Barack Obama,
David Letterman,
Doctor's office,
medication,
Sick,
Top Ten
Tuesday, April 29, 2008
Why I Can Barely Look At Myself In The Mirror
Every morning, I hit up some of my favorite blogs only to discover that they still haven't been updated, days, weeks, sometimes even months after the last update.
And I cry. (Maybe that's a little melodramatic, I don't actually cry, maybe I die a little inside, how about that? Yeah, let's go with die a little inside.)
Then, I realized, that I have become that blogger, the blogger that kills a little bit of me with every passing week of no update. Is there someone out there to whom I am doing the same thing?
Probably not, but there might be someone who is slightly disappointed with no recent updates.
Anyway, sorry about becoming "that blogger", but things have gotten a little hectic and of my three blogs (for baseball, check out 100 Years Later, for television and movie news check out Josue23) this is the one that got short changed.
I'm going to try and do better as time goes on, really I am.
To make it up to you, I present the return of Quote of the Day, from one of our favorites. Perhaps it can help explain why I have fallen off in my duty to bring you retrospective reflections.
I think that that says it all.
And I cry. (Maybe that's a little melodramatic, I don't actually cry, maybe I die a little inside, how about that? Yeah, let's go with die a little inside.)
Then, I realized, that I have become that blogger, the blogger that kills a little bit of me with every passing week of no update. Is there someone out there to whom I am doing the same thing?
Probably not, but there might be someone who is slightly disappointed with no recent updates.
Anyway, sorry about becoming "that blogger", but things have gotten a little hectic and of my three blogs (for baseball, check out 100 Years Later, for television and movie news check out Josue23) this is the one that got short changed.
I'm going to try and do better as time goes on, really I am.
To make it up to you, I present the return of Quote of the Day, from one of our favorites. Perhaps it can help explain why I have fallen off in my duty to bring you retrospective reflections.
"Life is like a grapefruit. It's orange and squishy, and has a few pips in it, and some folks have half of one for breakfast."
Douglas Adams
I think that that says it all.
Friday, April 18, 2008
Thoughts About My Jobs Part Two
My other job is as an Interim Youth Minister. There is a possibility of the position becoming permanent, but I have to decide if I want that or not.
I've enjoyed it so far, although I've only done it for a few weeks now.
At my last Youth Group meeting, I led a meditation sort of thing, but I realized that I didn't have a good meditative cd to play during the meditation.
I used to have hours worth of the stuff. It was all on my laptop, but that laptop got stolen, so all of my meditation type music was gone as well.
Not a big deal, I thought, I'll pick something up at the store on the way to church. I also called one of my sponsors and left a message with her. She called me back right as I was about to pull into the store parking lot and said she was sure she could bring something. I said great and continued to the church.
Her son (one of my youth) said that he had something and he put it on his iPod to bring it up to the church.
So, he gives it to me and I hook it up to the speaker without even looking at what it was.
It wasn't exactly what I was expecting. Instead of being meditative music, it was a meditative sound type thing. You know, nature sounds.
I had already started the meditation before I started what I thought was going to be music and when the waterfall sounds started it was too late for me to come up with a different plan. I was just going to have to go with it.
I was reading them a story (from The Last Western, the greatest novel ever written, don't bother looking for it at your local book store, it is out of print), the story was set in America, long before it was known as America, in fact, long before it was discovered.
The story opened with a man jumping from a cliff into a river. The waterfall was quite appropriate.
The man gained the name Eagle for his feat, at this point the meditation went to birds, again perfect.
He became king and angered his people with his talk of peace and love. The meditation went to wolves howling and whining; it was quite appropriate.
He was captured by an enemy tribe and tossed from another cliff into a river, again, the water was there.
The few who believed in him saw a miraculous sight, a huge bird unknown to humanity, came out of the water where his body had fallen. Again, the birds began.
Afterwards, the youth thought that I had planned the sounds to match the story. I told all who asked that it was just an awesome coincidence.
It's crazy how sometimes when things don't go exactly as you planned they end up far better then you could have imagined.
I've enjoyed it so far, although I've only done it for a few weeks now.
At my last Youth Group meeting, I led a meditation sort of thing, but I realized that I didn't have a good meditative cd to play during the meditation.
I used to have hours worth of the stuff. It was all on my laptop, but that laptop got stolen, so all of my meditation type music was gone as well.
Not a big deal, I thought, I'll pick something up at the store on the way to church. I also called one of my sponsors and left a message with her. She called me back right as I was about to pull into the store parking lot and said she was sure she could bring something. I said great and continued to the church.
Her son (one of my youth) said that he had something and he put it on his iPod to bring it up to the church.
So, he gives it to me and I hook it up to the speaker without even looking at what it was.
It wasn't exactly what I was expecting. Instead of being meditative music, it was a meditative sound type thing. You know, nature sounds.
I had already started the meditation before I started what I thought was going to be music and when the waterfall sounds started it was too late for me to come up with a different plan. I was just going to have to go with it.
I was reading them a story (from The Last Western, the greatest novel ever written, don't bother looking for it at your local book store, it is out of print), the story was set in America, long before it was known as America, in fact, long before it was discovered.
The story opened with a man jumping from a cliff into a river. The waterfall was quite appropriate.
The man gained the name Eagle for his feat, at this point the meditation went to birds, again perfect.
He became king and angered his people with his talk of peace and love. The meditation went to wolves howling and whining; it was quite appropriate.
He was captured by an enemy tribe and tossed from another cliff into a river, again, the water was there.
The few who believed in him saw a miraculous sight, a huge bird unknown to humanity, came out of the water where his body had fallen. Again, the birds began.
Afterwards, the youth thought that I had planned the sounds to match the story. I told all who asked that it was just an awesome coincidence.
It's crazy how sometimes when things don't go exactly as you planned they end up far better then you could have imagined.
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Thoughts About My Jobs Part One
So today I had to go to a lunch meeting of the county Builders (one of my currently two jobs is as an apprentice home builder) and there seems to be a bias towards drinkers of tea.
I don't like tea, never have, not a tea drinker. I know that this is Texas and a majority of people here LOVE their iced tea, but I'm not one of them. Maybe it is because I was born in Chicago.
Anyway, I drank water.
The waitresses at the club house where our meeting was held came by a few times with a pitcher of tea to refill everyone's tea.
Not once did they come by with a pitcher of water. Not once.
I guess if I ever want to be a successful builder, I'll have to learn to like iced tea.
I don't like tea, never have, not a tea drinker. I know that this is Texas and a majority of people here LOVE their iced tea, but I'm not one of them. Maybe it is because I was born in Chicago.
Anyway, I drank water.
The waitresses at the club house where our meeting was held came by a few times with a pitcher of tea to refill everyone's tea.
Not once did they come by with a pitcher of water. Not once.
I guess if I ever want to be a successful builder, I'll have to learn to like iced tea.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)