Thursday, February 28, 2008
I Voted, Have You?
Time is an illusion. Lunchtime doubly so.
-Douglas Adams
I love Douglas Adams, the man who gave us the answer to Life, The Universe, and Everything. (If you don't know the answer, I will kindly provide it to you, 42. Now if only we knew the question.)
On to other things, today, I participated in my civic duty and voted in the primary, taking advantage of Early Voting, which ends tomorrow. Make sure to go and vote today or tomorrow if you live in Texas. If you don't vote today or tomorrow, make sure to go on Tuesday and make your voice heard.
Remember, after the primary ends on Tuesday, the caucus begins. Go to your local precinct on Tuesday evening after 7:00pm for that. You are only eligable to participate in the caucus if you voted in the primary, however.
Tonight, I hope to get in to see Barack Obama in Downtown Fort Worth, Texas. If I get any good pictures, I will share them with you here. I tried to talk my sister into going and taking my niece wearing a "Change Me, Obama!" bib, but alas, she said that 8:00pm was way to late for the 8 month old to be out. My sister has no sense of history (and even less sense of direction, but that's another story completely). What can you do?
One more thing before I go, an old man at the early voting place made me laugh this morning. He raged about the "mean" volunteers not allowing him to vote in the Democratic primary for President and the Republican for everything else. They informed him (calmly, I thought, considering) that he could only vote in one or the other for the primaries, but not both. They noted that in the general election in November he could vote Democratic for President and Republican for everything else.
This was his response.
"I ain't voting for no Democrat in November!"
Ah, small town Texas, how fun you can be.
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
Thoughts on Last Night's Debate
For Barack Obama, all he really had to do was stay on his feet, and I think that he did.
If you asked me who I felt "won the debate", I'd probably say that Senator Clinton did slightly better overall then Senator Obama. I didn't, however, feel like Senator Clinton started out too strongly. She complained about always getting the first question and came off as whiny. She reference a Saturday Night Live skit implying that Barack Obama was getting preferential treatment from the media and it didn't come off very well either. As the debate went on, however, and Tim Russert grilled Senator Clinton on point after point, and she answered smartly and strongly, she definitely ended the night stronger then she began it.
Barack Obama, meanwhile, just needed to maintain the status quo, and he did just that. He didn't blow anyone away last night, but he didn't do anything to disappoint anyone either. The numbers now show him with a rather sizable national lead over Senator Clinton among Democrats and in a National Poll, he is shown to be leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain by a fairly sizable margin. Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, is shown in a statistical tie with the Republican front runner.
If Barack Obama happens to win next week in either Texas or Ohio (and I certainly believe that it is possible) it will probably be time for Hillary Clinton to see the writing on the wall and get the Democratic party united behind the man who currently seems the best bet to defeat McCain and win back the White House. Will she do that, however? I have no idea. After all, both Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul are still running for the Republican nomination despite the fact that McCain losing it now would be nigh on impossible. While Barack Obama's lead is large and would be almost impossible to overcome, on the Democratic side there is still the issue of Super Delegates and Hillary Clinton could conceivably be handed the nomination by them despite the lead that Barack Obama has in pledged delegates. Such a move could fracture the Democratic party however, and I don't foresee Senator Clinton doing that, but I acknowledge that it is a possibility.
If you haven't already, take a look at yesterday's post on how exactly the Texas Primary/Caucus works as well as a list of the 32 Texas Super Delegates. And if you happen to live in Texas, get out and vote early. Early voting is going on until Friday February 29th and then the polls re-open on Tuesday March 4th. Then remember to come back to your polling place that evening for the caucus.
Finally, you should check out these two you tube videos on a young man's feelings on why he voted for Barack Obama.
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
One Week From Today
So, if you are a Texas Democrat, how can you help put your candidate of choice over the top or keep your candidate of choice alive? Well, first, you will vote in the primary which can be done one of two ways, either through early voting (now through Friday Feb. 29th early voting is available throughout Texas) or at your polling place on Tuesday March 4th. This will account for 129 of the 228 of the available delegates Texas has to offer. They will be split up on a proportional basis, depending on the amount of the vote that each candidate receives with districts that voted more democratic in the 2004 Presidential Election and the 2006 Gubernatorial Election receiving a larger number of delegates to award.
Second, you will go back to your polling place at 7:00pm on March 4th to take place in a caucus when statewide, 67 more delegates will be allocated. Everyone will have the opportunity at the caucus to convince the others to support their candidate and get those delegates available for your district to be applied to your candidate.
The remaining 32 of the 228 delegates Texas has to offer are Super Delegates.
Here is a list of those Super Delegates from Texas
The list, after the jump, courtesy of Time (go here for full list of all 795):
Democratic National Committee Members:
Roy LaVerne Brooks TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Linda Chavez-Thompson OFFICERS
Yvonne Davis TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Al Edwards TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Norma Fisher Flores TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Jaime A. Gonzalez, Jr. TEXAS DNC MEMBER
David Hardt YOUNG DEMOCRATS OF AMERICA
David Holmes TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Denise Johnson MEMBERS-AT-LARGE
Eddie Bernice Johnson MEMBERS-AT-LARGE
Sue Lovell TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Robert Martinez MEMBERS-AT-LARGE
Moses Mercado MEMBERS-AT-LARGE
John Patrick TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Betty Richie TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Boyd Richie TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Robert Slagle TEXAS DNC MEMBER
Senfronia Thompson TEXAS DNC MEMBERU.S. House of Representatives:
Henry Cuellar
Lloyd Doggett
Chet Edwards
Charles Gonzalez
Al Green
Gene Green
Rubin Hinojosa
Sheila Jackson-Lee
Nick Lampson
Solomon Ortiz
Silvestre Reyes
Ciro D. Rodriguex
Distinguished Party Leader Leadership Position:
Robert Strauss FORMER DNC CHAIRMAN
Jim Wright FORMER SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE
Friday, February 22, 2008
About Blogged Out
I was going to buy a copy of The Power of Positive Thinking, and then I thought: what the hell good would that do?
-Ronnie Shakes
I really don't have anything to add, because I think that says it all. Very funny.
Anyway, good debate yesterday as we come down to about a week and half until the primary here in Texas, so if you live in Texas, remember that early voting is going on now. You don't have to wait until March 4th.
In a later post, I'll see if I can explain the odd way that Texas does their Primary/Caucus.
Thursday, February 21, 2008
DEMOCRATIC DEBATE IN AUSTIN TEXAS
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Not Too Much To Say, But A Few Things
"A friend is someone who will help you move. A real friend is someone who will help you move a body."
-unknown
Yeah, I wouldn't take credit for it either.
On to some happier news, yesterday I talked about Barack Obama speaking in the city of Houston, well, my cousin and his family went. To see some great pictures of them Ba-Rocking the Vote there you can visit Erica's blog fifth of forever. The picture of Oliver, their beautiful baby, actually made the local FOX news. Check it out here, Oliver's about halfway through.
I'm excited that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton will be debating in the great city of Austin tomorrow and even more excited that Texas is more then just an afterthought in the Presidential Election.
I'd write more today, but I'm about blogged out due to my novel length post on the Top Ten Films of 2007, feel free to check that out if you're interested.
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
Primaries Plus Democrats in TEXAS?!?!?
-Patrick Young
Today's quote of the day is rather appropriate, I think. But the forecasting that I'm thinking of today is political not weather.
If you think back to June of 2007, back before everyone knew that Clemens was a steroid user, political forecasters foresaw a couple of things for sure, John McCain was done, the Republican Primary would probably go to Rudy Gulianni, but if Fred Thompson entered the race, he could become a viable candidate, and on the Democratic side, Barack Obama was interesting, for sure, but the race would be over very quickly with Hillary Clinton as the Democratic nominee.
Well, as we travel from the past back to the present, we can see that Gulianni and Thompson are both out of the race, and with the backing of Mitt Romney and former President Bush, McCain should have the nomination sown up by early next month at the latest. Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, while prognosticators where correct in regards to the interest the nation has taken in Senator Obama, they handed Senator Clinton victory a little too quickly.
Sticking with the idea given us by Mr. Young in the quote of the day, we've seen many projections and polls in politics that have proved to be false. As recently as the New Hampshire Primary, polls showed Hillary Clinton trailing, and yet, she won the Primary.
As it stands right now, Senators Clinton and Obama are polling neck and neck in Wisconsin (the State of Cheese). A victory here would be huge for Clinton as just last week she was given no chance. She appeared to be following a "keep your eyes on the big states" type of strategy looking ahead towards Texas and Ohio next Tuesday and Pennsylvania on April 22nd, conceding everything in between to Obama. Her strategy shifted, however, perhaps due to the critiques her plan was recieving throughout the media, and she began to spend some time and money in Wisconsin.
At the very least, she's made things interesting again. I'm beginning to believe more and more that the Democratic nomination will not be decided until the Democratic convention in August.
Texas remains important, though. If Senator Clinton pulls out a victory in Wisconsin tonight, then getting less delegates from Texas then Senator Obama doesn't become as big of an issue as it would if she gets swept out of February after Super Tuesday.
The interesting thing about Texas is the fact that Clinton could win the overall vote in Texas, but be awarded less Texas Delegates then Obama. The reason for this is that the Democratic delegates are weighted by the amounts of Democratic voters in the county in the last election for Governer. A county in which 75% of the vote went Democratic will award more delegates then a place where only 25% of the vote went Democratic. So, if you're a Democrat in Texas, your lonely vote for Chris Bell might actually have meant something after all. What makes this important is that in that election, the areas with a strong Latino presence, Hillary Clinton's strong constituancy, are in primarily Republican counties.
You may recall the redistricting scandal a few years back when the Republican controlled State Congress redrew the voting lines primarily to break up the strong Latino voting districts (which voted primarilly Democratic) and placed them as smaller pieces into largely Republican districts, removing some seats from Democrats. This is the main reason why the areas with Latino voters will have a smaller number of delegates to give then other areas, areas with younger, more affluent, and better educated voters, and areas with a large number of African Americans, all of whom tend to vote in larger numbers for Barack Obama. Add to that the fact that polls now have Obama nearly spliting the woman's vote and the elderly vote with Clinton, the gender and age group that she used to dominate, and Clinton's one remaining strength (the Latino vote) is less of a strength then one might have originally thought it would be in Texas. So while Senator Clinton is counting on the large number of Latino voters in Texas to propell her to victory here, the delegates will be larger in the areas where Senator Obama has the edge, meaning Clinton might win the state, but Obama's delegate lead will still grow.
But, like I said at the beginning, polls and predictions can often be wrong, at least often enough for us to be stupid to put our faith in them completely, but they also are right often enough for them to be worth paying attention to.
Either way, the fact that today in the city of Houston, Barack Obama will be giving his post primary speech in the Toyata Center excites me. Last week, Hillary Clinton was in El Paso. Thursday they will be debating in Austin. How crazy is this, Democrats who are running for President are campaining in Texas? W.'s state?
Enjoy it while it lasts Texas Democrats, because things like this don't happen too often around here.
Monday, February 18, 2008
You've Got to Have Faith, Faith, Faith
-Edgard Varese
I'm glad this is the quote of the day, because it reminds me of something I heard in the sermon at church yesterday morning. The preacher told the story of a three year old girl who was so anxious to meet her new baby brother. She begged her parents to let her talk to him alone, so they retreated into the living room, but listened on via the baby monitor (the patriot act alive and well in our homes) as the new sister leaned in close to her baby brother and whispered, "Tell me about God, I've almost forgotten."
It was a beautiful story, and it makes me want to reword our quote of the day a little bit...
Everyone is born with faith, but most people only keep it a few years.
Faith is a hard thing to come by, a hard thing to keep, but it certainly seems easier for a child. Maybe all the times that that faith is shaken as we're growing up makes it harder to really believe in something as we get older.
I spoke in my last post about occasionally feeling lost, something I'm sure that many people can identify with. Well, yesterday, I kind of feel like I was handed a GPS system. I awoke with an idea. An idea that I've always had in my head as something I would like to do, but yesterday it was insistent. It was something I felt I had to do. As the day went by, various conversations I had or things people said all forced this idea right back to the forefront of my thoughts.
This post might seem a little divergent, but the whole situation for me is the complete opposite. These things actually seem connected to me, and maybe I actually know where the "location" from the last post is for me now.
Anyway, one last thought before I go, the best part of church yesterday (I wasn't at my normal chuch, I was at a closer one since I overslept) was that I was seated amongst a lot of older people. And by older, I mean nearing ancient status. Obviously none of them could hear very well, and so while they had these conversations amongst themselves during the service, the entire congregation could hear everything they were saying. I'm sure that they thought they were being quiet, but they weren't.
Apparently, I find faith in God in the very young and the very old.
Friday, February 15, 2008
Ramblings
In middle school (a long, long time ago in a city not that far away, I honestly don't know where the Star Wars references are coming from) we had to write a journal entry every day in my English class. The teacher, Mrs. Martin was her name, I believe, would put a quote up on the board to inspire us. Well, due to the power of the Internet, the Quote of the Day can be found on line here. Just like in that class, I won't always use the Quote o' the Day to inspire me, but it will always be available.
Today's quote is...
We're not lost, we're locationally challenged.
-John M. Ford
Pretty appropriate since the television show LOST aired last night. (For more on that television show read this).
I like the thought though, maybe it's the stereotypical male side of me, the side that refuses to ask for directions. (Although, there have been plenty of times when I have asked for directions, but that doesn't mean I like to.)
Even more interesting about this idea is the idea of being lost as being unsure of our life's direction or status. But maybe that's not really the issue, the reason we feel lost in our life is because we are "locationally challenged". We aren't sure what our location is supposed to be.
I don't know why, but this really speaks to me.
Maybe it's because I often feel lost or locationally challenged. It isn't that I'm unhappy in life, I'm not, things are good for the most part, but I often feel as if I'm not where I'm supposed to be, if that makes sense. So, the question is where am I supposed to be? I have an idea, but I have no idea how to get there.
Not because I'm lost, but because I just don't know where it's located.
Well, that's all the time I have for today. Thanks for reading.
Josh Man
Thursday, February 14, 2008
Thoughts on Politics
Yes, we are witnessing history in the making, as the Democratic Nominee for President of the United States will for the first time ever on either side of the political aisle, either be a woman (Hillary Clinton) or a black man (Barack Obama).
Would anyone have believed this possible just a few short years ago?
Meanwhile, John McCain appears to be the presumptive Republican nominee, but many Republicans who consider themselves especially "Conservative" aren't very fond of him, propelling Mike Huckabee, a former Southern Baptist minister, into a few big primary wins and a few other surprisingly close races.
Therefore, the Republican race is staying interesting as well. Sure it doesn't have history backing it the way that the Democratic race does, but it certainly has its fair share of drama.
McCain is going to win the nomination on the Republican side, it would take a miracle for him not to. (Although I did enjoy the Huckabee quote, "I didn't major in math in college, I majored in miracles.") The question becomes, when he does win the nomination does he add on a very conservative running mate to appease the Republican base, change his stance on the issues that bother the conservatives the most, or decide that he doesn't need the conservatives at all (which would either fracture the Republican party or cause them to run a super conservative third party canidate)? These questions make the Republican situation fun to watch.
Besides history on the Democratic side, there is the question of Super Delegates. In order to win the Democratic nomination, you need a total of 2,025 delagates, won primarily by the votes cast in Caucases and Primaries. However, there are also 796 Super Delegates (generally Democratic members of Congress, Governers, National Comittee Members, and Party Leaders) who are free to back whomever they choose. Due to how close the race is (at this posting, Obama leads Clinton 1,096 to 977 not counting the Super Delegates) it is unlikely that either canidate will win the requisite number of delagates through the primary process, meaning that ultimately it will be the Super Delagates that decide this election. If Obama continues to hold on to his lead based on the voting public, but the Super Delagates propell Clinton to victory, the Democrats could be faced with a party fracturing possibility as well.
I'll especially be watching the results March 4th in Ohio and Texas (where I am a registered voter and will be exercising my political right). If Hillary Clinton doesn't win both of those states, it will be very hard for her to continue her campaign. If she does win them both, we very likely could be looking at a situation where the Super Delagates decide the election.
Whether you normally follow politics or not, whether you think that they are all a bunch of overpayed publicity hounds or whether you think that they actually care about the people they represent, you can't deny that this is some high drama, much better then the reality shows that are so prevalent across the television landscape. At least it is in my opinion.